UK Housing Market Focus How important is the City for London’s housing market? We suspect that the importance of the City jobs market to London’s housing market has been overplayed. But against the current backdrop in which the wider economy is on course for a twoyear... 10th November 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Mortgage interest rates heading to 3% Today’s interest rate cut, from 4.5% to 3%, marks only the early stages of a phase of aggressive monetary easing which will ultimately take base rates to an all-time low of 1%. Mortgage interest rates... 6th November 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Mortgage interest rates heading to 3% Today’s interest rate cut, from 4.5% to 3%, marks only the early stages of a phase of aggressive monetary easing which will ultimately take base rates to an all-time low of 1%. Mortgage interest rates... 6th November 2008 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Update Mortgage interest rates heading to 3% Today’s interest rate cut, from 4.5% to 3%, marks only the early stages of a phase of aggressive monetary easing which will ultimately take base rates to an all-time low of 1%. Mortgage interest rates... 6th November 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update How much will payment protection insurance cost insurers? Despite the write-downs already made, the financial sector has yet to face billions of pounds of further losses associated with the downturn in the economy. Our forecast that unemployment will... 4th November 2008 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Update One-in-five mortgage borrowers to be affected by negative equity According to Bank of England estimates, negative equity now affects roughly 3% of mortgage borrowers, or just over 350,000 households. Yet, if we are right and house prices still have at least another... 29th October 2008 · 1 min read
Global Economics Focus How far will global house prices fall? To date, only a few major economies have been afflicted by large scale falls in house prices. But all that will change in 2009. Housing is significantly overvalued across much of Europe, as well as in... 29th October 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Focus How far will global house prices fall? To date, only a few major economies have been afflicted by large scale falls in house prices. But all that will change in 2009. Housing is significantly overvalued across much of Europe, as well as in... 29th October 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus How far will global house prices fall? To date, only a few major economies have been afflicted by large scale falls in house prices. But all that will change in 2009. Housing is significantly overvalued across much of Europe, as well as in... 29th October 2008 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Focus How far will global house prices fall? To date, only a few major economies have been afflicted by large scale falls in house prices. But all that will change in 2009. Housing is significantly overvalued across much of Europe, as well as in... 29th October 2008 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Focus A rapid fall in house prices will minimise the pain If the recent rates of house price falls are sustained, it is plausible that the 35% peak-to-trough decline that we expect will have been delivered by autumn 2009. The sheer speed of adjustment is... 21st October 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Has the housing market outlook changed? What a tumultuous few weeks! Policymakers around the world have stepped in to bail out the banking system, hopefully averting full-scale financial system meltdown, and UK interest rates have been cut... 16th October 2008 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Update Has the housing market outlook changed? What a tumultuous few weeks! Policymakers around the world have stepped in to bail out the banking system, hopefully averting full-scale financial system meltdown, and UK interest rates have been cut... 16th October 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Spanish housing market downturn gathers pace The latest Spanish house price data provide further evidence that the housing market is set for a hard landing. We expect house price falls of around one third over the next few years to push the... 15th October 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Recapitalisation unlikely to revitalise bank lending With banks’ balance sheets under pressure, UK bank lending is set to rise more slowly, if not fall outright. This will have significant adverse effects on the UK economy, which may already be in... 13th October 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Has the housing market outlook changed? What a tumultuous few weeks! Policymakers around the world have stepped in to bail out the banking system, hopefully averting full-scale financial system meltdown, and UK interest rates have been cut... 10th October 2008 · 1 min read
