Australia & New Zealand Economic Outlook Revival won't last long The recent resurgence in activity in both Australia and New Zealand is not the start of a sustained period of strong GDP growth. While the near-term outlook has improved, GDP growth in both economies... 17th December 2015 · 1 min read
Canada Data Response Teranet-National Bank House Prices (Nov.) House price inflation rose to a four-year high of 6.1% in November, from 5.6%, but the existing home sales-to-new listings ratio indicates that this might be the peak. 14th December 2015 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Four charts on what’s next for house price inflation A variety of forward-looking indicators suggests that house price inflation has well and truly peaked and that a sizeable slowdown lies ahead. House price inflation could even grind to a complete halt... 14th December 2015 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Data Response RICS Residential Market Survey (Nov.) The RICS survey revealed a slight deterioration in the number of homes for sale. Admittedly, buyer growth has slowed. But with the number of homes coming onto the market still falling, there are few... 10th December 2015 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Data Response Australia Consumer Confidence (Dec.) Despite the modest fall back in the Westpac measure of consumer confidence in December, from 101.7 in November to 100.8, we don’t expect this to be the beginning of a downward trend as the buoyant... 9th December 2015 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Chart Pack Easing in credit conditions edges up housing demand The lack of housing inventory continues to drive developments in the market. The months’ supply of existing homes for sale has now been below five since May. That is both holding back home sales, and... 8th December 2015 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Data Response Halifax House Prices and Mortgage Lenders Statistics (Nov/Q3) According to the Halifax, annual house price growth slowed in November, albeit from a very high rate. That said, today’s Bank of England MLAR statistics showed LTIs rising for a second quarter, in... 8th December 2015 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack Buy-to-let lending strengthens There has been little change in housing market conditions over the last month, as the shortage of homes for sale persisted. But it wasn’t all bad news, as the economic backdrop strengthened a little... 4th December 2015 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Applications (Nov.) A rise in mortgage rates led to a sharp drop in mortgage refinancing activity in November. But applications for home purchase fared better, with the weekly breakdown showing an encouraging rise in... 2nd December 2015 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response CoreLogic House Prices (Oct.) On a seasonally-adjusted basis, the 2% m/m rise in house prices in October was the highest since 2005. And although that figure is likely to be revised down, it is clear that very tight market... 1st December 2015 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Focus Is the housing market heading for a slowdown or another boom? It is not out of the question that the coming rise in interest rates will derail the housing market recovery. Equally, however, it is plausible that a surge of pent-up demand, combined with low... 30th November 2015 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Lending (Oct.) The number of mortgage approvals for house purchase picked up again in October, confirming that last month’s dip was not the start of a weakening trend. In contrast, approvals for remortgaging cooled... 30th November 2015 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Data Response Nationwide (Nov.) and Land Registry (Oct.) House Prices Today’s data showed that there has been little if any increase in house price pressures over the past month. And the Chancellor’s recent actions against buy-to-let strengthen our case that house price... 27th November 2015 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Further FPC action would not undermine recovery We could finally see some policy action from the Bank of England next week – but not in the form of a tightening in monetary policy. The Financial Policy Committee (FPC) may flex its muscle by using... 27th November 2015 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Autumn Statement 2015: OBR digs Osborne out of a hole This was a much more benign Autumn Statement than most had anticipated. Nonetheless, the big picture is still that austerity will renew in earnest next year – although we think that the economic... 25th November 2015 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response New Home Sales (Oct.) US high-yield corporate bonds have performed poorly in November amid concerns over the renewedfall in commodity prices and the prospect of tighter US monetary policy. Looking ahead, we do notthink... 25th November 2015 · 1 min read
