UK Commercial Property Update Will the London retail premium be reasserted? The rental growth premium enjoyed by Central London shops has disappeared in the pandemic. And we don’t expect it to reopen, as lower footfall in the capital, the slow recovery in tourist arrivals and... 1st April 2022 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Data Response Australia CoreLogic House Prices (Mar.) We continue to expect house prices to begin falling across the eight capital cities in 2023. But the price declines in Sydney and Melbourne in March suggest that the downturn could be starting sooner... 1st April 2022 · 2 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack Stocks may lag bonds if commodities keep on surging Given that the past couple of months has seen the outbreak of war in Ukraine, surging commodity prices, growing concerns about inflation, and increasingly hawkish noises from the world’s major central... 31st March 2022 · 13 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook Office Metro Outlook (Q1 2022) We expect the best performing office markets over the next five years to be in Southern and Western metros, meaning that almost all the new additions to our forecast this quarter will outperform the... 31st March 2022 · 14 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Has Prague industrial pricing gone too far? The strength of Prague industrial performance last year exceeded expectations but also left valuations looking highly stretched. While there are risks stemming from trade links with Russia, we think... 31st March 2022 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response Nationwide House Prices (Mar.) The acceleration in house price growth to an 18-year high of 14.3% will add to concerns that the pandemic housing market boom is getting out of hand. With mortgage rates rising, house price inflation... 31st March 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Benefits of buying over renting wane While buying a home is likely to remain a better option than renting, despite rising mortgage rates, the decision will become more finely balanced. That will mean some prospective first-time buyers... 30th March 2022 · 3 mins read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Outlook Emerging Europe: War reinforces weak values outlook The war in Ukraine will have spillover effects for property in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), albeit that Russia will be far worst hit. Economic growth is expected to be slower, which will weigh on... 30th March 2022 · 18 mins read
US Housing Market Data Response Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Jan.) The rebound in house price inflation seen at the end of last year continued into 2022, with annual growth on the Case-Shiller measure moving back above 19%. But housing market activity has slowed... 29th March 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Feb.) Net lending to property eased further in February, though it remained in positive territory. We expect lending trends to remain fairly subdued as both economic and sector specific challenges loom over... 29th March 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Lending (Feb.) Higher than usual home moving activity ensured that mortgage approvals remained substantially above pre-virus levels in February. But the decline compared to January could be an early sign that rises... 29th March 2022 · 2 mins read
Global Economics Focus Property the weak link as interest rates rise We think that property markets are the weak link when it comes to the impact of tightening monetary policy. A modest rise in interest rates might only cause price falls in a few obvious candidates... 25th March 2022 · 22 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Is the north-south divide closing for industrial? The latest data from the industrial sector were predictably upbeat with strong take-up and dwindling supply driving rapid rental growth. There were also signs of important shifts across UK markets... 25th March 2022 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack Peak demand Most leading indicators of housing market activity and house prices remain strikingly buoyant, but the first signs that demand will soften are now appearing. There is no question that house prices... 24th March 2022 · 9 mins read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Outlook Scandi & Swiss: Rising pressure on property yields Property demand in the Scandinavian and Swiss markets is expected to hold up this year, as they are more insulated from the negative impacts of the war in Ukraine on economic activity. However... 24th March 2022 · 18 mins read
US Housing Market Data Response New Home Sales (Feb.) New home sales fell for the second month in a row in February, as builders limited them to catch-up with the backlog of homes under construction. Higher mortgage rates will act to cool overall housing... 23rd March 2022 · 2 mins read
