Latin America Economics Update Argentine peso could weaken to 10/$ by year-end The recent depreciation of the Argentine peso may be small, but it could be significant in marking thestart of another prolonged decline. With rampant inflation eroding the economy’s... 21st May 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Argentine economy probably slipped into recession in Q1 After contracting in the fourth quarter of last year, a poor start to this year means that the Argentine economy is probably already in a technical recession. Revisions to the government’s methodology... 12th May 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Rising inflation to prevent interest rate cuts despite slow growth Rising inflation looks set to force policymakers in most parts of Latin America to keep monetary policy relatively tight despite evidence that the region is entering a new phase of weaker economic... 9th May 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Inflation concerns resurface in Brazil Inflation has started to accelerate once again in Brazil, casting doubt over signals from the central bank that the hike in interest rates earlier this month could be the last in the current... 25th April 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Recovery gains momentum The past month has seen Latin American financial markets perform fairly well, building on the momentum of March’s rebound. But despite the recent gains, we expect some renewed downside this year amid... 23rd April 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Is this really a pragmatic revolution in Argentina and Venezuela? The financial media and markets alike have hailed the apparent shift towards pragmatism in both Argentina and Venezuela as a new dawn. But while recent developments are promising – particularly in... 23rd April 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update External vulnerabilities mean weak growth, not crisis We have been warning for a very long time that the recent period of strong growth in Latin America has been built on shaky foundations. With external vulnerabilities mounting, several countries in the... 14th April 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Mexican industry set to pick up, despite drop in PMI Brazil’s manufacturing PMI picked up a little in March, while Mexico’s manufacturing PMI edged down. But the bigger picture is that Brazil’s manufacturing sector is still barely growing. By contrast... 1st April 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Argentina: Rocky road to elections despite better data Argentina’s new national accounts data add to the impression that the government is cleaning up its act and moving towards more orthodox policymaking. But with the economy in the midst of a slow... 28th March 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Markets steady after January rout Latin America’s financial markets stabilised in March after a woeful start to the year. In most countries, currencies and equity markets made modest gains. Colombia’s financial markets performed... 27th March 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack A Slow start to 2014 There have been further signs during the past month that Latin America has entered a new era of sluggish economic growth. With most of the official data for the fourth quarter now released, our... 26th March 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Currency sell-off sees Colombia overtake Argentina A depreciation of the Argentine peso has caused Colombia to overtake Argentina as the region’s third largest economy. Meanwhile, with a shortage of hard currency biting and the bolivar weakening... 24th March 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Growth to stay weak as commodity boom ends The world economy is recovering, but we expect growth in Latin America to continue to trudge along at a rate of 2.5-3.0% over the coming years. Sluggish growth will be due in part to less supportive... 21st March 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Rising inflation not as alarming as it appears The sharp rise in regional inflation over the past year is starting to cause concern in some quarters. But a closer look reveals that the increase has been due to a jump in inflation in just two... 13th March 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Venezuela’s economic crisis deepens Venezuela’s government has responded to the eruption of violent protests in the country over the past month with yet another overhaul of its exchange rate system – the aim being to provide more... 28th February 2014 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Calm returns to Lat. Am. markets Following the turmoil experienced during the first few weeks of this year, financial markets across much of Latin America have stabilised over the past month. In most countries, bond yields have... 25th February 2014 · 1 min read
