Emerging Europe Economics Update Q1 GDP breakdown provides glimmer of hope The breakdown of Q1 GDP across Emerging Europe showed that the region’s economy is probably in a slightly better shape than the (weak) headline growth figures would suggest. Accordingly, we think that... 6th June 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Slump in regional growth may be bottoming out The raft of preliminary GDP data released earlier this month provided some hope that the region’s slowdown bottomed out in the first quarter of the year. Nonetheless, growth is extremely weak, at just... 24th May 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Parent bank deleveraging easing The pace at which parent banks in Western Europe have scaled back funding for subsidiaries in Eastern Europe has slowed further since the start of the year. Nonetheless, credit conditions in much of... 21st May 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Growth stabilising, but uneven performance The raft of preliminary Q1 GDP data for Central and South Eastern Europe, released today and yesterday, suggests that, while the slowdown at the end of last year has bottomed out, growth is sluggish... 15th May 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economic Outlook Set for a sluggish and uneven recovery The slowdown in Emerging Europe appears to have bottomed out at the start of the year. We expect growth to pick up over the second half of 2013, but the risk of a flare-up in the euro-crisis, the... 14th May 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Slowdown bottoms out in Q1 A raft of Q1 GDP data due to be released over the coming weeks is likely to show that growth stabilised in most of Emerging Europe. Russia is the notable exception. Here, the slowdown seems to have... 13th May 2013 · 1 min read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Scandinavian investment demand flat-lining The signs from the first quarter are that, while the trend for investment demand in Emerging Europe might have turned the corner, in Scandinavia it remains stagnant. The latest survey and hard... 9th May 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Romania signals rate cuts Romanian policymakers provided pretty clear signs this afternoon that they plan to start easing policy. They were ambiguous on the timing, but we think that interest rate cuts could come once... 2nd May 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack A soft start to the year The slowdown in growth in Emerging Europe appears to have bottomed out in the first quarter of this year. We estimate that, at an aggregate level, the region grew by around 0.8% y/y, in line with... 29th April 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update What has driven Russia's slowdown? The raft of Russian activity data for March, due to be released this week, is likely to show a slight improvement from February. But growth in Q1 is still set to be much weaker than at the end of last... 16th April 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Market rally reverses course Most Emerging European stock markets and currencies have weakened over the past month on the back of the Cypriot crisis and fears of contagion to the rest of the euro-zone. This serves as a timely... 8th April 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Turkey leading the recovery, Russia lagging behind The latest activity data from Emerging Europe have been something of a mixed bag. Turkey is leading the recovery as a rebound in credit growth has fuelled domestic demand. Here, we think GDP growth... 21st March 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Q4 GDP breakdown points to consumer turnaround The breakdown of Q4 GDP data in Central and South Eastern Europe showed encouraging (albeit tentative) signs of an improvement in consumer spending. By contrast, exports were extremely weak. Leading... 11th March 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Market rally losing steam The rally in Emerging Europe’s financial markets has lost steam over the past few weeks. In part, this is due to the re-surfacing of tensions in the euro-zone following Italy’s inconclusive general... 7th March 2013 · 1 min read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Emerging European property continues to lose its shine The relatively strong performance of Emerging European property markets in 2011 was not repeated in 2012. The softening economic backdrop did little to support rental growth, while yields appear to... 1st March 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Bottoming out GDP data released over the past month showed that growth in Emerging Europe slumped to a postcrisis low of just 0.8% y/y in the final quarter of last year. Nonetheless, the latest surveys suggest that... 28th February 2013 · 1 min read
