Europe Commercial Property Update RICS surveyors’ expectations for EZ property recovery downgraded The RICS survey showed a softening in demand, investment enquiries and the outlook for capital values in the euro-zone in Q3, consistent with our view that the commercial property recovery will weaken... 13th November 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Prime office rents set to outperform consensus expectations The consensus view of European prime office rental growth was generally revised up for this year and next. Even so, we remain more upbeat than the consensus given our view that low levels of new... 12th November 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Demographic projections point to resi underperformance in French and German cities Population growth is expected to slow over the next five years, but projections show wide differences across European cities. French and German markets are set to see the weakest demographic growth... 6th November 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Corporate bonds more supportive of French property valuations Rises in French government bond yields point to material increases in property yields in the next year or so. However, corporate bond yields, as an alternative benchmark, suggest less need for... 5th November 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update CE lead indicator points to euro-zone capital value slowdown Our new CE Capital Value Lead Indicator for the euro-zone is consistent with our latest forecast view that prime all-property capital value growth will slow to below 5% y/y by year-end. 20th October 2025 · 3 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update Retail and residential sectors set to outperform globally In a period of slow economic growth but stabilising inflation and earnings growth, we expect the residential sector to see the strongest rental growth globally, with industrial close behind thanks to... 15th October 2025 · 4 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update CRE NPLs in Germany now highest in the EU and more on the way The notable rise in the share of non-performing loans to commercial real estate in Germany over the past couple of years stands out within the EU. We expect further increases to come in Germany, but... 14th October 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Conversions reinforce a strong Spanish office rent outlook Office rental growth in Spain’s major markets will be underpinned by rapid employment growth and relatively low rates of hybrid work. And these trends are further supported by healthy conversion... 2nd October 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Estimates point to steady euro-zone all-property yields further ahead Fair-value calculations which incorporate rental expectations suggest euro-zone all-property yields should hold steady in the medium term. However, the outlook differs by sector, with rises still... 25th September 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Demand for industrial property near ports should hold up The recent resilience of euro-zone trade is expected to continue in the coming quarters, which will support demand for industrial property near key ports. However, industrial demand near the ports of... 18th September 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Low supply and robust economic growth to support prime Warsaw office rents With new supply limited and solid GDP growth prospects supporting demand, we believe that Warsaw prime office rental growth will outpace the CEE average in 2025, before converging with the region’s... 4th September 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Euro-zone prime recovery to date like the GFC, but different Solid rental growth has meant the recovery in euro-zone prime property values to date has matched the post-GFC period despite a more limited contribution from yield falls. A softer rental outlook... 28th August 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Prague industrial oversupply to continue to weigh on rents Increases in new supply mean Prague industrial rents are likely to hold steady over the rest of this year. But improving economic growth, a strong e-commerce market and attractive affordability... 27th August 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Spanish industrial rent outlook solid, but little room for yield falls The solid pace of economic growth in Spain over the next couple of years will continue to support robust rates of industrial rental growth. However, we don’t think that will be enough to justify large... 14th August 2025 · 3 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update Global CRE needs a reset for real recovery to take hold With interest rates staying high and closed-end funds already sitting on a large volume of investors’ capital, global real estate fundraising looks set to stay in the doldrums. We think the sector... 13th August 2025 · 5 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Italian prime retail benefits from strong tourism Solid tourism flows and a pick-up in consumer spending growth mean we believe both Rome and Milan prime retail rents will continue to outpace the euro-zone average over the next couple of years. 12th August 2025 · 2 mins read
