Global Commercial Property Update Weaker near-term hotel outlook; Europe better placed ahead A soft consumer spending outlook and subdued business demand, reinforced by the effects of the Iran war, will weigh on global hotel demand in the coming years. Longer term, hotel performance will be... 21st April 2026 · 4 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update Life science to outperform, but will remain a niche sector While supply headwinds have hit life science performance in recent years, long-term fundamentals have been reinforced by the pandemic. We expect a recovery in the short term and strong performance... 16th April 2026 · 5 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update How will AI job cuts influence office demand? Tech occupations are the most exposed to the impact of AI, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that sector will see the most job losses. That said, a decline in the share of pre-lets to the sector in... 10th April 2026 · 3 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update Retail and hospitality sectors to bear the brunt of Iran War The effects of the Iran war will feed through to property occupiers through two main channels: higher energy costs and lower household disposable income growth. The impact on sectors will vary based... 9th April 2026 · 4 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Cash buffers reduce risks from German open-ended real estate funds Despite recent redemption suspensions, net outflows from open-ended real estate funds in Germany have been small as a share of net asset value while cash buffers are higher than some other large... 7th April 2026 · 3 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update Alternative real estate sectors set to gain more ground In an environment of relatively weak economic growth, alternative sectors stand to benefit from a lower reliance on cyclical drivers, and support from structural trends that will drive long-term... 24th March 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Affordability of renting vs buying a tailwind for rental demand The comparative affordability of renting versus owner-occupation is one factor that we expect to support rental demand across most European markets in the coming years, especially in the German... 19th March 2026 · 2 mins read
Commodities Update Strategic reserves are no substitute for an open Strait A record-breaking release of emergency oil reserves could cushion a lack of supply from the Middle East and provide some relief to oil prices. However, this would prove temporary with prices likely to... 11th March 2026 · 4 mins read
Global Economics Update Scenarios for the Iran war & the macro impact This note assesses the macro and commodity‑market implications of three potential scenarios for the Iran war. In the most benign – a severe but short‑lived conflict – the effects on GDP, inflation and... 10th March 2026 · 7 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update EZ property yields unlikely to spike if conflict in Iran is short-lived Providing the conflict in Iran is short-lived, the impact on euro-zone commercial property values is likely to be small. However, a more prolonged conflict would weigh on property demand, especially... 10th March 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update European office vacancy to stabilise this year A softening new supply pipeline and indications that demand is gradually improving suggest office vacancy in Europe should stabilise this year. That said, we expect that any falls will be small... 3rd March 2026 · 3 mins read
Global Economics Update The consequences of the Middle East conflict The global economic impact of conflict in the Middle East will hinge on its effect on energy markets. If oil stays near $70-$80 per barrel, DM inflation will be only about 0.2-0.3 percentage points... 2nd March 2026 · 8 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Foreign capital flows to the US set to stay at low levels The US’ relatively strong economic growth outlook and large data center market are likely to support a pick-up in foreign demand for US assets after the cross-border share of purchases fell to at... 17th February 2026 · 4 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Softer data point to weaker retail revival in the euro-zone The data for euro-zone retail rents have been notably weaker since mid-2025. Given this and the fragile economic backdrop, we think that any retail recovery over the next year or more will now be... 12th February 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Q4 RICS survey highlights weakness in German and French markets The Q4 RICS survey pointed to a largely stable euro-zone commercial property market at the end of last year. However, there were marked differences between prime and secondary assets as well as within... 10th February 2026 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Lending conditions improving, but refinancing challenges to persist Survey data point to an improving commercial real estate lending environment in H1 this year. This will support investment activity, though our updated estimates suggest refinancing challenges will... 4th February 2026 · 2 mins read
