Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Bond yields spike in Egypt as IMF deal looks further away Yields on Egyptian dollar-denominated bonds have spiked as an IMF deal looks increasingly distant and concerns over the government’s fiscal position mount. 27th March 2013 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Is this the end of the golden age? Gold has been in and out of favour for well over a year, but its price has been broadly stable rather than collapsed – suggesting that underlying support remains strong. Looking ahead, a revival of... 22nd March 2013 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update Much lower oil prices needed for strong recovery The $10 decline in the price of a barrel of Brent since early February reflects the faltering in the world economy and, most recently, the fresh worries about the euro-zone triggered by the crisis in... 19th March 2013 · 1 min read
Energy Watch Oil prices still too high for comfort The past few weeks have seen the re-emergence of two key factors that we expect to undermine oil prices further over the course of the year, namely a faltering in the world economy and a renewed flare... 19th March 2013 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update How much will Saudi Arabia benefit from strong Asian growth? Saudi Arabia’s growing trade ties with Asia bode well for the economy’s growth prospects over the coming years. While we expect advanced economies to remain sluggish, Emerging Asia should grow at... 18th March 2013 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update What the Cyprus crisis means for the rest of the world A further escalation of the crisis in tiny Cyprus may have global implications well beyond the immediate market reactions today. It could influence the course of fiscal policy in the UK and monetary... 18th March 2013 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Has "Dr. Copper" lost his touch? The divergence between the strength of the prices of equities and the weakness of the prices of industrial metals, including copper, does not necessarily tell us anything new about the sustainability... 12th March 2013 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Grain prices still have further to fall as supply fears ease The prices of all the major US grains have already fallen significantly from their peaks last summer, but we expect them to decline further during 2013. 11th March 2013 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Will Chinese demand rescue commodity prices? There have been many conflicting signals recently on the prospects for China’s demand for commodities. Indeed, the February trade data, released earlier today, could be spun either positively or... 8th March 2013 · 1 min read
Commodities Update What does Chavez's passing mean for oil prices? The death of the Venezuelan President, Hugo Chávez, is unlikely to have a significant impact on global oil markets in the short term, although this impact could yet be in either direction. Over the... 6th March 2013 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Cobalt: the Capital Economics view Cobalt is being added to our coverage of industrial metals from today. The price of cobalt is barely a quarter of the highs seen in March 2008, which might suggest that there is plenty of upside if... 5th March 2013 · 1 min read
DM Markets Chart Pack US Treasuries regain their poise The 10-year US Treasury yield fell back in February, reversing about half of its rise in January. The drop was partly prompted by safe-haven demand following the inconclusive result of the Italian... 4th March 2013 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Mexico edges towards energy reform Confirmation that Mexico’s governing PRI party will support reforms to open up the state-owned oil company Pemex has cleared a major obstacle to private sector investment in the energy industry... 4th March 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus Russia, Gazprom and the shale revolution The development of shale gas in Europe is unlikely to have a significant impact on Russia’s energy exports over the next couple of years. But in time, it could prove to be the final nail in the coffin... 4th March 2013 · 1 min read
Commodities Chart Pack New Year rally comes to an abrupt end Commodity prices fell back in February due to worries about the global economy, renewed tensions in the euro-zone and fears of an early halt to QE in the US. These factors were reflected in a stronger... 4th March 2013 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Too soon to call time on the bull market in gold Despite the recent weakness, we continue to expect the price of gold to reach new record highs of $2,000 per ounce later this year as global monetary policy remains supportive, the crisis in Europe... 25th February 2013 · 1 min read
