Latin America Rapid Response Chile GDP (Q4 2025) Chile’s economy ended last year on a strong footing, with GDP rising by 0.6% q/q, but the energy price spike and fiscal tightening planned under President Kast will cause the economy to weaken in the... 18th March 2026 · 2 mins read
Africa Economics Update Kenya: energy shock adds to currency, sovereign risks Kenya’s reliance on energy imports from Gulf States leaves it amongst the most vulnerable on the continent to the conflict in the Middle East. The fragile external position leaves the onus on the... 18th March 2026 · 5 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Energy shortages rippling through Australian supply chains With supplies of crude oil from the Gulf dwindling, local prices of petroleum products imported from the Asia-Pacific region have already risen more sharply than movements in crude oil prices would... 16th March 2026 · 3 mins read
Latin America Economics Weekly Terms of trade boost, Copom: 25bp vs 50bp As net energy exporters, most major Latin American economies benefit on net from the renewed leg up in oil prices. As thing stand, we don't think the inflationary impact will stop Brazil's central... 13th March 2026 · 7 mins read
Asia Economics Update The Gulf remittance risk for Asia A prolonged conflict in the Middle East could hit remittance flows as worsening economic prospects in the Gulf weighed on demand for migrant workers. A collapse in remittances seems unlikely. But any... 13th March 2026 · 3 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly Conflict will exert a heavy toll on the Gulf There remains enormous uncertainty over how the conflict in the Middle East will play out from here. But the scenarios we have laid out suggest the Gulf economies will almost certainly record negative... 12th March 2026 · 7 mins read
Latin America Economics Update LatAm: net beneficiaries from the energy price shock Major Latin American economies are seen as potential beneficiaries of higher energy prices, reflecting in large part their stronger net energy export positions. This Update summarises the key... 12th March 2026 · 4 mins read
US Rapid Response US International Trade (Jan. 2026) Gold, pharmaceuticals and IT equipment were once again the main drivers behind moves in the trade deficit in January, while limited revisions to preceding months’ figures suggest little change to... 12th March 2026 · 2 mins read
Canada Rapid Response Canada International Trade (Jan. 2026) The plunge in exports in January, together with the large decline in wholesale sales volumes, points to downside risks to the flash estimate that GDP was unchanged at the start of the year. If so... 12th March 2026 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Policy response leaves Egypt better placed to weather war Egypt hasn’t been involved directly in the conflict in the Middle East but it is one of the most vulnerable EMs to the indirect effects, especially higher energy prices and tighter global financial... 11th March 2026 · 3 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Energy shock tests Turkey’s macro stability Turkey’s economy is better placed to face the current energy price shock than it was in 2022, but it is still among the more vulnerable EMs. A temporary price spike will only have a modest effect on... 11th March 2026 · 5 mins read
Global Economics Chart Pack Global Economics Chart Pack – Iran Conflict Edition (March 2026) The conflict in the Middle East has triggered a major shock to energy flows from the region, sending prices of oil and natural gas soaring. Shipments of petroleum through the Strait of Hormuz have... 10th March 2026 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Update Easing sovereign debt risks bolster the region’s resilience The shock from the conflict in the Middle East has only had a modest impact on government borrowing costs in Africa, reflecting a marked improvement in sovereign risk profiles in the last few years... 10th March 2026 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Update Is Asia running on empty with LNG? Asian economies vary in how dependent they are on LNG from the Gulf – for China and Japan, dependence is low, while Pakistan, Taiwan and Korea have much higher exposure. Low domestic inventories leave... 10th March 2026 · 4 mins read
China Rapid Response China Merchandise Trade (Jan. & Feb. 2026) Both exports and imports started the year much stronger than expected. While the recent pace of gains is unlikely to be sustained, exports are likely to remain robust given the recent decline in US... 10th March 2026 · 2 mins read
Latin America Economics Weekly What the war in Iran means for Latin America Most major Latin American economies will see a terms-of-trade boost from the surge in energy prices due to the war in Iran. Most of the windfall will be saved, providing relief to fragile public... 6th March 2026 · 5 mins read
