Drop-In: UK macro-outlook – resilience, risks and the road to the Budget

Signs of economic resilience. But more fiscal deterioration. And still-potent inflationary pressures. The UK economy has held up better than expected through the summer, despite higher energy prices, but the outlook remains challenging as we head into the final months of 2026.

With the Autumn Budget now coming into view, on Wednesday 9th September, our economists will give a special briefing on the state of the UK economy, the key risks facing policymakers and what to expect in the months ahead. In this 20-minute session, the team will be answering your questions as they address key issues, including:

• What the latest economic data say about how the UK economy will navigate the rest of the year;
• Our latest analysis on potential tax increases in the Autumn Budget and their implications for growth;
• What to expect from the Bank of England’s September meeting.