Higher market interest rates will undoubtedly act as a drag on household spending and business investment, offsetting some of the temporary boost from fiscal stimulus. We expect that will eventually prompt a marked slowdown in GDP growth, albeit probably not until next year. But we are not concerned that higher rates will trigger a wave of debt defaults as we saw a decade ago during the financial crisis.
Subscriber content
Read this in full, free
Start a free trial and use one of your 10 free starter credits to unlock this piece.