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Fiscal policy won’t provide support for the recovery

The two main events this week – the Budget and MPC decision – will highlight the divergence between monetary and fiscal policy stances. With Bank Rate likely to be held at 0.5%, marking seven full years at a record low, monetary policy is doing a great deal to support the economy. In contrast, with the Chancellor constrained by his fiscal mandate, the Government is unlikely provide any support for the recovery or take advantage of low gilt yields to increase investment.

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