Public sector net borrowing was in surplus in January as the figures were flattered by the usual bump from higher income tax receipts. Nonetheless, it was a smaller surplus than the Office for Budget Responsibility’s (OBR) forecast. And, even though borrowing in 2021/22 so far still looks on track to come in a little below the OBR’s £183bn forecast, we doubt this will be the case in 2022/23.
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