Drop in inflation in May will prove fleeting

Headline CPI inflation in India is likely to have dropped in May, primarily due to base effects. But beyond May, we expect inflation to resume rising, reaching over 8% by August. The RBI is likely to respond by frontloading policy tightening in the coming months, including a 50bp hike in the repo rate tomorrow. India Drop-In (8th June, 10:00 ET/15:00 BST): We’ll be discussing India’s growth, inflation and policy outlook in the wake of the RBI’s June meeting, including what to do about the rupee. Register now.

Subscriber content

Read this in full, free

Start a free trial and use one of your 10 free starter credits to unlock this piece.


Free. 10 articles. No card required.
By completing this form you are agreeing to our Terms and Conditions for the provision of a free trial of Capital Economics' services. We take your privacy seriously and will not share your details with others without your consent. By providing your details, including your email address, you are consenting to Capital Economics sending you macroeconomic commentary and analysis. You can unsubscribe at any time. See our Privacy Policy for more information.

Already a client or trialist? Log in to read this.