Skip to main content

Does the weakness in world trade signal a broader downturn?

The recent run of weak trade data has raised fresh concerns about the health of the global economy. However, the fall in the value of trade over the past year mostly reflects lower commodity prices and the appreciation of the dollar rather than a sharp drop in demand. World trade volumes have held up better and most indicators suggest that they are set to recover in the second half of the year.

Subscriber content

Read this in full, free

Start a free trial and use one of your 10 free starter credits to unlock this piece.


Free. 10 articles. No card required.

By completing this form you are agreeing to our Terms and Conditions for the provision of a free trial of Capital Economics' services. We take your privacy seriously and will not share your details with others without your consent. By providing your details, including your email address, you are consenting to Capital Economics sending you macroeconomic commentary and analysis. You can unsubscribe at any time. See our Privacy Policy for more information.