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Tweaking our forecasts; the super-cycle debate

Despite big moves in bond and equity markets, commodity markets were fairly subdued this week. Nevertheless, we expect oil prices to break higher again before long, and our new forecasts show them peaking in Q3 (compared to Q4 previously). Meanwhile, we now expect a larger fall in the gold price this year, although the scale of any fall is likely to be limited by the ongoing recovery in physical demand.

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