Global GDP growth should remain strong over the rest of this year, due to healthy growth in household consumption and business investment. Inflation is likely to trend towards 2% in most advanced...

We agree with the IMF’s global GDP growth forecasts for 2018 but suspect that their forecasts for 2019 will need to be lowered. We think that the US and Chinese economies will slow by more than the...

Yield curves are their flattest since 2007/08 in a few advanced economies, a development commonly viewed as signalling an economic downturn. However, it’s unlikely that we are headed for a global...

President Donald Trump would probably struggle to pull the US out of the WTO on his own. But unless Congress starts taking a tougher stance against his protectionist urges, the continued use of...