The most likely outcome of the midterm elections is legislative gridlock, although a second round of tax cuts would be unlikely even if the Republicans narrowly maintain control of both Houses of...

The slide in the price of copper in the past few weeks has added to concerns about the health of the world economy. But while it may provide further evidence that China’s economy is slowing, we do not...

The fall in Markit’s global manufacturing PMI in July supports our view that Q2 marked the peak in global growth. However, the slowdown now underway should be gradual for the next year or so.

While global economic growth rebounded in Q2, it will probably slow again in the second half of this year and in 2019. The US will not be able to sustain annualised GDP growth of 4%, China’s economy...