London: In-person event
UK Economic and Markets Outlook
What to expect in the post-election landscape
Thursday 12th September
Myo St Paul’s, One New Change, London EC4M 9AF
The UK is back from summer holidays with its economy under new management. Having won by a landslide, Keir Starmer's Labour Party is now charged with steering an economy that’s just emerging from the sharpest inflation surge in a generation, that’s struggling with some of the lowest productivity rates in the developed world and that’s facing an increasingly complex global environment.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves says this economy is the "worst inheritance any incoming government will have had since the Second World War".
But how bad is the economic picture? How much faith should investors have in a new government’s ability to fix the UK's deep-seated problems, and what returns can they expect from UK financial markets?
We’re holding a special in-person event in London on Thursday, 12th September to explore the outlook for the UK economy and markets. This hour-long session will be your opportunity to hear from our UK macro and markets economists about what lies ahead for the UK, to get answers to your questions, to meet the wider Capital Economics team and to network with peers from your industry.
During a short presentation and a longer panel discussion, you’ll hear about the key issues facing the UK post-election, including:
- Whether the economy will help or hinder the new government;
- How fiscal policy will influence the economic outlook;
- Whether a new government can push through the UK’s much-needed structural reforms.
Meet the speakers
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Paul Dales
Chief UK Economist
Paul Dales is our Chief UK Economist, with overall responsibility for our UK Economics and UK Markets services. Paul joined Capital Economics soon after it was founded in 1999 and has previously been our Chief Australia & New Zealand Economist and Senior US Economist. In 2022, he led the team that was named UK Economics Forecaster of the Year by the Sunday Times. In 2016, the Australian Financial Review judged him to be Australia’s economist of the year as “he made all the right calls in a market that most chief economists found hard to read”. In 2011, he was named Bloomberg’s US house price forecaster of the year. And in 2010, he was part of the US team that was named Wall Street Journal US forecaster of the year. Paul regularly writes articles for the London Evening Standard and frequently appears on TV and radio. He holds degrees in Banking & Finance and Economics from Loughborough and London universities and the UK FSA recognised Securities Institute Diploma.
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Neil Shearing
Group Chief Economist
Neil Shearing is our Group Chief Economist. He has overall responsibility for managing our team of economists and leading our research, as well as developing the firm’s products and its relationship with clients. He is also a director of the company. Neil is the first point of contact for many clients and presents regularly on the global economic and financial market outlook. He is a well-known voice within the investment community and has written articles in the Financial Times and a number of other newspapers, as well as appearing regularly on TV and radio. Prior to becoming Group Chief Economist, Neil was our Chief Emerging Markets Economist, managing a team that won several awards for forecast accuracy. He also managed our New York office. Neil joined Capital Economics from HM Treasury where he worked as an Economic Adviser in various areas, including fiscal policy and global economics. He holds degrees in Economics from the University of York and the University of London and is a Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts.
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Ruth Gregory
Deputy Chief UK Economist
Ruth Gregory is Capital Economics' Deputy Chief UK Economist. She joined Capital Economics in 2015 and has 15 years’ experience as a professional economist analysing the UK economy. Prior to joining Capital Economics, Ruth worked as a UK economist at the Office for Budget Responsibility and HM Treasury. In 2022, she was part of the team at Capital Economics named UK Economics Forecaster of the Year by the Sunday Times. Ruth is a member of the Retail Think Tank which serves to provide a balanced, considered and unbiased view on what is happening in the retail sector and to develop thought leadership on the key areas influencing the future of retailing in the UK. She has also previously been a member of the Judging Panel for the Society of Professional Economists Rybczynski Prize competition. Ruth regularly presents to clients on the UK economic and financial market outlook. She comments on economic developments in the media and appears regularly on TV and radio. She holds a degree in Economics from the University of Bath.
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Ashley Webb
UK Economist
Ashley Webb is a UK Economist at Capital Economics. Ashley joined Capital Economics in 2022 from HM Treasury, where he worked on UK macroeconomic and fiscal policy. He holds an MSc in Economics from the University of Edinburgh and a BSc in Economics from the University of Plymouth.
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Hubert de Barochez
Senior Markets Economist
Hubert de Barochez is a Senior Economist in the Global Markets team. Prior to joining Capital Economics, he worked as economic policy analyst at MEDEF, the main business organisation in France, and as macroeconomist at BNP Paribas. Hubert holds master's degrees in economics, finance, and engineering.