UK Economic Outlook UK: 2006 - Recovery or relapse? (Q1 2006) Our prediction a year ago of a sharp slowdown in the growth of the UK economy during 2005 proved correct. But was the downturn merely a temporary pause for breath, or the start of a sustained period... 3rd January 2006 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Companies to the rescue? Assessing whether the corporate sector will offset the consumer slowdown (Q4 05) With consumers and the government no longer able to bear the burden of driving forward economic growth, it is the corporate sector that will come under the spotlight over the next year or two. Firms... 27th September 2005 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook High street slowdown to spread to consumer services (Q3 05) 27th July 2005 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Getting Older - the economic consequences of an ageing population (Q3 05) Changes in the growth and make-up of the UK population are set to have major consequences for the economy over the next few decades. 27th June 2005 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Have we ever had it so good? (Q2 05) As usual, the economy looks set to take centre stage in the general election campaign, with voters set to be bombarded with a baffling array of claims, counterclaims and statistics relating to its... 30th March 2005 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook 2005 – The year it all starts to go wrong? (Q1 05) The last ten years have been a golden period for the UK economy, with strong and stable GDP growth accompanied by falling unemployment, low inflation and low interest rates. But are things about to go... 13th December 2004 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Black gold or black death? (Q4 04) Given the UK’s disastrous experiences following the oil price shocks of the 1970s, it is no wonder that the recent increase in the oil price has fuelled talk of rising inflation and the threat of... 27th September 2004 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Monetary Policy at the Crossroads (Q3 04) The general perception among economists and the markets alike is that the UK’s inflation targeting monetary policy regime is the model that all other countries should follow. But is the current regime... 27th June 2004 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Shop or drop? (Q2 04) Despite widespread expectations that the growth of household spending would slow under the weight of record levels of household debt, there has been little evidence that the spending boom is coming to... 30th March 2004 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The pound at a critical juncture (Q1 04) The pound has been caught in the middle of a major realignment between the US dollar and the euro, which we believe could have significantly further to go. 30th December 2003 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The economic consequences of EU enlargement (Q4 03) In May next year, eight Central and Eastern European Countries together with Cyprus and Malta will join the European Union, increasing membership from 15 to 25 states. How this enlargement works will... 27th September 2003 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The Chancellor's five-point plan for Britain (Q3 03) The Treasury’s assessment of the five economic tests to determine whether the UK should adopt the euro has had an unexpected benefit – five ideas for reform, admittedly not all new, to improve the... 27th June 2003 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The five tests for euro entry: pass or fail? (Q2 03) In a few months, the Treasury will complete its assessment of the five economic tests for UK adoption of the single currency. Should the tests be passed, a referendum could follow in the autumn and we... 30th March 2003 · 1 min read
