US Housing Market Outlook Boost from lower mortgage rates to be short-lived While slightly lower borrowing costs have boosted the near-term outlook, the decline has not been large enough to meaningfully improve housing affordability. In addition, we believe that market... 20th October 2025 · 11 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update Retail and residential sectors set to outperform globally In a period of slow economic growth but stabilising inflation and earnings growth, we expect the residential sector to see the strongest rental growth globally, with industrial close behind thanks to... 15th October 2025 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Apartment Metros Outlook Strong supply pipelines cloud outlook for D.C. & Miami Multifamily is set to be a top-performing sector over our five-year forecast, but returns will differ significantly across the 17 metros in our coverage. Miami and D.C. are likely to struggle as... 9th October 2025 · 6 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Why have multifamily and industrial delinquency rates diverged? The CMBS delinquency rate for multifamily was the second highest in August, largely reflecting relatively loose lending practices around the turn of the decade which has led to an outsized impact from... 1st October 2025 · 4 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack (Sep. 25) We expect the recent drop in mortgage rates to give the housing market a short-term boost, although buying activity will remain low by historic standards. We expect the 30-year fixed rate to stay... 30th September 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Outlook Final value falls deferred again, but US CRE still overvalued Our view that capital values still need to fall by 5% at the all-property level keeps our forecasts below consensus. Based on our forecast of a long-term 10-year Treasury yield of 4.5%, appraised cap... 22nd September 2025 · 21 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack (Aug. 2025) The struggling housing market is unlikely to benefit from the Fed rate cuts we have built into our outlook (four 25bp cuts through mid-2026). These cuts are already been priced in by markets, while... 27th August 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack US Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q3 2025) All-property capital values rose modestly by 0.1% in Q2, suggesting a market floor, with cap rates falling by 5 bps. However, we expect values to see limited upside due to the narrow spread to risk... 22nd August 2025 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Update Labour market slowdown won’t curtail rental demand The recent slowdown in the labour market won’t stop rental demand from continuing to climb this year, given that falling labour demand and the immigration clampdown are most impacting cross-sections... 14th August 2025 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Outlook No clear path to housing recovery Activity in the housing market has been struck in a slump since 2023, with still no end in sight. As Trump’s immigration and trade policies push up inflation this year, the Fed will be forced to keep... 10th July 2025 · 12 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Chart Pack APAC Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q2 2025) All-property Asia-Pacific capital values fell at a slower rate of 3.4% y/y in Q1, driven by smaller declines in Australia and Hong Kong. But looking ahead, we expect the upturn in both investment... 9th July 2025 · 0 mins read
US Commercial Property Apartment Metros Outlook US Apartment Metros Outlook: Houston apartment market set for lift-off The size and speed of the apartment market recovery will vary widely across the 17 metros we cover over our five-year forecast. Southern markets are generally set to outperform, backed by strong... 8th July 2025 · 7 mins read
Global Commercial Property Chart Pack Global Commercial Property Chartpack (Q2 2025) The gradual recovery in property values underway in Europe is unlikely to be pushed off track by tariff developments this year, but we think values still have further to fall in the US and APAC as... 2nd July 2025 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack (Jun. 2025) Housing is struggling under the weight of high borrowing costs – a problem unlikely to ease if, as we expect, the Fed holds rates steady this year due to tariff-driven inflation, followed by only a... 30th June 2025 · 1 min read
APAC Commercial Property Outlook Values to fall as region’s markets struggle to recover The outlook for the Asia-Pacific markets is relatively poor. We think higher-for-longer bond yields will limit the pace of recovery in this cycle globally, but this will be compounded by a weak... 27th June 2025 · 20 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook US Commercial Property Outlook: More capital value falls to come in all sectors this year We think the short-term outlook for capital values is poor, with valuations looking stretched across all measures. This does not appear to be reflected in other forecasts, meaning our forecasts for... 24th June 2025 · 22 mins read
