APAC Commercial Property Update HK offices won’t reclaim 2018 peaks over the next decade Hong Kong’s office market has long demonstrated resilience in weathering economic storms, but the current downturn is unlike any cycle since at least the 1990s. Facing simultaneous structural and... 31st July 2025 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly ANZ Weekly: Labour market not an obstacle to RBA rate cuts The strong uptick in Australia's unemployment rate in June may be overstating the actual degree of slack in the labour market. After all, the underutilisation rate remains historically low and... 18th July 2025 · 5 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update RBNZ to cut further as property sector remains weak New Zealand’s housing market is still struggling to recover from its steep post-pandemic downturn. Although we still expect it to turn the corner in the coming months, the risk is that it will remain... 15th July 2025 · 5 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack (Jun. 2025) Housing is struggling under the weight of high borrowing costs – a problem unlikely to ease if, as we expect, the Fed holds rates steady this year due to tariff-driven inflation, followed by only a... 30th June 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack US Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q2 2025) All-property capital values edged up by 0.1% in Q1, marking the first increase since mid-2022. Meanwhile, appraisal-based cap rates were flat after compressing by a slight margin in Q4 2024. We still... 30th May 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Outlook UK Commercial Property Outlook: Property insulated from tariffs but recovery weak UK commercial property is relatively well insulated from the direct impact of US tariffs, and some sectors may even see small benefits. Rental growth has also held up better than expected. But with... 20th May 2025 · 26 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Q1 US CRE activity sprouts, but tariffs weigh on recovery Commercial real estate investment climbed on a y/y basis in Q1, but recent surveys revealed that the unpredictability of policy changes and tariffs have dampened investor confidence. We expect this to... 12th May 2025 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Q1 RICS survey shows resilient US CRE sentiment, but downside risks ahead The Q1 RICS US commercial property survey reported steady investment sentiment. That is in line with our belief that the market is headed for an upturn, although the impact of new tariffs and the... 25th April 2025 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack (Mar. 25) We think markets are too optimistic about Fed rate cuts this year, meaning the recent dip in mortgage rates is just a temporary respite. We expect rates to rebound to 7% and hover around that level... 25th March 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack US Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q1 2025) All-property values edged down by 0.1% in Q4 but the magnitude of decline narrowed. Appraisal-based cap rates also fell for the first time since mid-2022. However, we still believe appraisals have... 28th February 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Outlook UK Commercial Property Outlook: Weak economy to weigh on property recovery The economic outlook has worsened over the past couple of months, which supports our call that the recovery in commercial property will be modest by past standards. Admittedly, interest rates are set... 19th February 2025 · 26 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack (Feb. 25) We think the window for further Fed interest rate cuts has closed, so mortgage rates should remain near their current 7% level this year, before a little more relief arrives in 2026. There will still... 18th February 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Update Q4 RICS survey confirms US CRE recovery is on its way The Q4 RICS commercial property survey saw investment sentiment turn positive for the first time since 2022 and a shift in perceptions of cycle phase, with the majority now believing we have reached... 30th January 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Are clouds forming over the UK property investment outlook? With commercial property capital values stabilising and credit conditions easing, the stage was set for a decent recovery in investment this year. However, the recent rise in gilt yields has cast a... 17th January 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economic Outlook ANZ Outlook: RBA and RBNZ to walk different paths Although their recent performance leaves much to be desired, we believe that both Antipodean economies are on the cusp of a cyclical upswing. But while the RBNZ has ample room to support the recovery... 12th December 2024 · 20 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack (Nov. 24) Conditions for would-be homebuyers and sellers will not improve much in the near term, with mortgage rates set to remain around 7% through the first half of next year, before modest relief arrives... 2nd December 2024 · 1 min read
