UK Commercial Property Rapid Response Lending to commercial property (Jun. 25) 29th July 2025 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Improving CRE lending outlook unlikely to boost investment Recent surveys of real estate lenders point to a continued improvement in the European commercial real estate lending environment. However, with refinancing still dominating lending activity, this is... 23rd July 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Will lender confidence drive UK commercial property capital values up? The current narrow spread between property yields and financing costs, combined with bullish lender capital value expectations, might be seen as an indication that a credit cycle is brewing and... 18th July 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Commercial Property Rapid Response Lending to commercial property (May 25) Net lending to property had another strong month in May, with the total of £2.15bn the largest amount in five years. 30th June 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack UK Commercial Property Chart Pack (Jun. 25) UK commercial property is on the road to recovery and lending to the sector has been strong in recent months. But with yields set to remain stable, the rise in capital values will be modest over the... 18th June 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update UK commercial property development on the road to recovery After a lean couple of years, the outlook for commercial property construction is brightening. While the economic outlook is fairly weak, vacancy rates in some subsectors such as prime offices and... 6th June 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Commercial Property Outlook UK Commercial Property Outlook: Property insulated from tariffs but recovery weak UK commercial property is relatively well insulated from the direct impact of US tariffs, and some sectors may even see small benefits. Rental growth has also held up better than expected. But with... 20th May 2025 · 26 mins read
US Housing Market Outlook US Housing Outlook: Market in need of rate relief that is not coming President Trump’s inflationary trade and immigration policies leave no clear path to the lower borrowing costs that the housing market desperately needs. A tariff-driven resurgence in inflation will... 2nd May 2025 · 15 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Risk of CRE debt distress greater in the EZ than the UK A stabilisation in capital values and decline in interest rates have sparked optimism that we may be past the worst of the real estate debt refinancing challenge. That indeed looks to be the case in... 6th February 2025 · 7 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Credit Conditions Survey (Q1 2024) Demand for mortgage credit jumped in Q1 in response to the drop in mortgage rates over the second half of 2023. But a rise in financial market interest rates this week, due to higher-than-expected... 1st February 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Rapid Response Lending to commercial property (Dec. 24) 30th January 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Update NCREIF Q4 Index - Gap between US CRE appraisals and sales prices to close in 2025 The Q4 data suggest that appraisals are lagging the market correction, with transaction-based cap rates still significantly above those reported in the indices. Our expectation that this gap closes in... 27th January 2025 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Outlook Sales slump to drag into 2025 The potentially inflationary policy mix of the incoming Trump administration will limit the decline in mortgage rates this year, squashing hopes for a major recovery in home sales. We expect... 8th January 2025 · 14 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Five key calls for US commercial real estate in 2025 Though we think the market has bottomed, we expect a very weak recovery this year, unlike in other cycles. In fact, we think valuation falls still have further to go, leaving our forecasts generally... 7th January 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack UK Housing Market Chart Pack (Dec. 2024) The sharp rise in transactions in October and the acceleration in house price growth in November suggest some relief rally or pent-up demand after the Budget is more than offsetting the recent rises... 17th December 2024 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Update No holiday cheer for CRE debt Our expectation of rising evidence of distressed assets in 2024 has come to bear, but we think more is still to come over the next couple of years. Some of that will stem from matured loans requiring... 5th December 2024 · 6 mins read