Canada Economics Update Canada Housing Watch (Sep. 2025) The rise in home sales in August was a little better than expected and, while house prices did edge down, there was little in the latest housing data to make us doubt our view that house prices are... 16th September 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Update UK RICS Residential Market Survey (Aug. 2025) August’s RICS survey shows that the combination of weak employment, rebounding mortgage rates and fears over tax rises in the Budget on 26 th November are holding back housing activity, while rents... 11th September 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Prime central London house prices to continue to lag behind After falling by 16% from their 2021 peak to their recent trough in March, prime central London (PCL) house prices have risen in each of the three months to June. But with prime buyers less reliant on... 4th September 2025 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Mortgage Applications (Aug. 2025) Lower borrowing costs sparked a small rebound in home purchase mortgage applications in August, lending support to our view that existing home sales will see a modest lift in the second half of what... 3rd September 2025 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Australia’s housing rebound continues to gather steam Australian house prices rose at their fastest pace in 18 months in August. With leading indicators suggesting further gains are on the cards, we’re inclined to revise up our forecast for house prices... 1st September 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack UK Housing Market Chart Pack (Aug. 2025) The still tight rental market and softening outlook for housing activity – due to weak employment, high mortgage rates and growing speculation around property tax rises in the Autumn Budget – suggests... 29th August 2025 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack ANZ Chart Pack (Aug. 2025) Our ANZ Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. We believe monetary easing has further to run in the Antipodes. The case for policy stimulus is clear... 27th August 2025 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (Jul. 2025) Despite a small uptick in July, home sales have held in a narrow 3.9-4.1 million annualised range since mid-2023, a historically weak level that highlights the lack of momentum in the struggling... 21st August 2025 · 2 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Could UK property tax reforms boost the economy? The Chancellor is reportedly considering replacing stamp duty land tax and council tax with alternative property taxes in the Autumn Budget. Even if this was revenue-neutral, it could be more... 19th August 2025 · 5 mins read
Canada Economics Update Canada Housing Watch (Aug. 2025) The fourth consecutive rise in home sales in July means that the housing market is developing close to our expectations, with prices stabilising last month. Housing starts recorded another strong... 18th August 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Update UK RICS Residential Market Survey (Jul. 2025) The still tight rental market and softening in housing activity recorded by the RICS survey in July implies that rents will continue to rise faster than house prices for another year or so. 14th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Canada Economics Weekly Weaker data support September rate cut The weaker housing and trade data released this week support our call for a September rate cut, a view which investors are beginning to come round to. 8th August 2025 · 5 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Mortgage Applications (Jul 2025) The fall in home purchase mortgage applications in July still leaves them roughly in line with where they started the year, and continuing to point to a rebound in existing home sales. While some... 6th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Affordability will dampen Australia’s housing rebound Australia’s housing market gained traction in June, and leading indicators suggest the housing rebound has further to run. But with affordability set to remain extremely stretched despite the RBA’s... 1st August 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Outlook UK Housing Outlook: House prices to beat expectations in 2026 The stuttering jobs market and the softening outlook for wage growth means we now expect house prices to rise by only 2.0% in the year to Q4 2025 (3.5% previously). But our view that Bank Rate will... 29th July 2025 · 17 mins read
