UK Commercial Property Update Closing UK commercial property SDLT ‘loophole’ will weigh on capital values The Deputy Prime Minister has urged the Chancellor to close the commercial property stamp duty ‘loophole’, which could lead to an average increase in tax on property transactions of 2.0 to 2.5%-pts... 13th June 2025 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Corporate bonds offer more proof of stretched US CRE valuations On the back of the MSCI and NCREIF indices reporting rising capital values in Q1 and our significantly below-consensus forecast views for the next two years, we are again re-evaluating our forecasts... 11th June 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update UK commercial property development on the road to recovery After a lean couple of years, the outlook for commercial property construction is brightening. While the economic outlook is fairly weak, vacancy rates in some subsectors such as prime offices and... 6th June 2025 · 4 mins read
UK Commercial Property Rapid Response S&P Global/ CIPS UK Construction PMI (May 25) The headline CIPS construction PMI rose for the third consecutive month in May, although the rise from 46.6 to 47.9 still suggests that construction activity is contracting. Within the headline figure... 5th June 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack US Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q2 2025) All-property capital values edged up by 0.1% in Q1, marking the first increase since mid-2022. Meanwhile, appraisal-based cap rates were flat after compressing by a slight margin in Q4 2024. We still... 30th May 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Valuation Monitor US Commercial Property Valuation Monitor (Q2 2025) Treasury yields eased slightly in Q1 but have since risen again. With property cap rates broadly flat, our valuation scores continue to point to overvaluation. This reinforces our view that any... 22nd May 2025 · 0 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q2 2025) Weaker rental growth and only a small fall in prime yields meant capital value growth slowed in Q1 in most of Europe. Looking ahead, while most European commercial property assets are not directly... 22nd May 2025 · 0 mins read
UK Commercial Property Outlook UK Commercial Property Outlook: Property insulated from tariffs but recovery weak UK commercial property is relatively well insulated from the direct impact of US tariffs, and some sectors may even see small benefits. Rental growth has also held up better than expected. But with... 20th May 2025 · 26 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Q1 US CRE activity sprouts, but tariffs weigh on recovery Commercial real estate investment climbed on a y/y basis in Q1, but recent surveys revealed that the unpredictability of policy changes and tariffs have dampened investor confidence. We expect this to... 12th May 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Euro-zone investment outlook downgraded given tariff uncertainty The gradual recovery in European investment continued in Q1 but going forward transaction totals are likely to be weak as a result of uncertainty around tariffs and the potential downside to property... 7th May 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Rapid Response Lending to UK commercial property (Mar. 25) 1st May 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Update NCREIF Q1 Index shows US commercial property values now rising, but valuation gaps persist The NCREIF Property Index (NPI) recorded a third consecutive quarter of positive total returns in Q1 2025, driven primarily by income. Although capital value growth turned positive, questions remain... 28th April 2025 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Q1 RICS survey shows resilient US CRE sentiment, but downside risks ahead The Q1 RICS US commercial property survey reported steady investment sentiment. That is in line with our belief that the market is headed for an upturn, although the impact of new tariffs and the... 25th April 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update RICS survey points to a subdued UK commercial property recovery The Q1 RICS survey showed little change from the previous quarter, with surveyors pointing to subdued levels of occupier demand and elevated availability. That points to a slowdown in rental growth... 25th April 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Q1 RICS survey highlights weak momentum in European CRE The RICS survey showed that the recovery in occupier and investor demand remained muted in Q1 and uncertainty about tariffs means this picture is unlikely to change in the near term. 24th April 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack UK Commercial Property Chart Pack (Apr. 25) UK commercial property is relatively well insulated from the direct impact of US tariffs, but a higher risk environment will drag on investment volumes. Yield compression will also be limited, and... 23rd April 2025 · 1 min read