Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response RBA Minutes (Aug. 2025) Although the RBA will retain its cautious approach for the time being, we believe the Bank will ultimately cut rates further than most are predicting . 26th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly ANZ Weekly: RBNZ turns dovish, Australia discusses tax reform When the RBNZ cut rates by 25bp at its meeting this week, it acknowledged that it would need to lower the policy rate all the way to 2.5% this cycle – consistent with our longstanding forecast. And... 22nd August 2025 · 5 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Don’t blame the public sector for Australia's productivity malaise Even though direct government spending now accounts for the largest share of GDP on record, we aren’t convinced that this explains the prolonged weakness in productivity growth. 21st August 2025 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly ANZ Weekly: Strong jobs market won’t keep RBA from easing further When the RBA delivered a 25bp cut this week, it signalled a willingness to lower rates below 3% for the first time this cycle. Although subsequently released labour market and wage data surprised... 15th August 2025 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Labour Market (July 2025) The tick down in the unemployment rate in July is likely to keep the RBA on sidelines at its next meeting in September, but we still think the Bank will ultimately loosen policy a bit further than... 14th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update Global CRE needs a reset for real recovery to take hold With interest rates staying high and closed-end funds already sitting on a large volume of investors’ capital, global real estate fundraising looks set to stay in the doldrums. We think the sector... 13th August 2025 · 5 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Wage Price Index (Q2 2025) 13th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update RBA will lower cash rate to 2.85% by mid-2026 The RBA endorsed market expectations of further easing when it lowered the cash today and we think the Bank will ultimately slash rates to 2.85%. 12th August 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Reserve Bank of Australia Meeting (August 25) 12th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly ANZ Weekly: Productivity growth picking up in New Zealand While the Q2 labour force survey out of New Zealand showed that labour demand remains dismal, it's worth noting that firms have been squeezing more out of their existing employees. The resultant lift... 8th August 2025 · 6 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update NZD and AUD likely to struggle over the rest of the year The high-beta Antipodean currencies had been the worst victims of global trade tensions but have fared better since early April, relative to their G10 peers, as global risk appetite steadily improved... 7th August 2025 · 4 mins read
RBA Watch RBA Watch: Despite its cautious tone, RBA will cut rates to 2.85% With underlying inflation within striking distance of the midpoint of the RBA’s 2-3% target, the Board should have no qualms about cutting rates by 25bp at its meeting next Tuesday. Although the Bank... 5th August 2025 · 8 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Monthly Household Spending Indicator (Jun. 25) The strong pickup in household spending last quarter won’t keep the RBA from handing down a 25bp cut when it meets next Tuesday. Looking ahead, however, the data do suggest upside risks to our below... 5th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly ANZ Weekly: CPI data signal green light for August rate cut Australian CPI data released this week will have gone a long way toward assuaging the RBA's concerns about lingering price pressures in the economy. And although retail sales picked up strongly in... 1st August 2025 · 5 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Update APAC sentiment trails other regions in Q2 RICS survey The latest RICS survey showed that overall sentiment in Asia-Pacific is weaker than in other regions, but that there is significant variance within the region. Japan and Australia stood out as clear... 1st August 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Affordability will dampen Australia’s housing rebound Australia’s housing market gained traction in June, and leading indicators suggest the housing rebound has further to run. But with affordability set to remain extremely stretched despite the RBA’s... 1st August 2025 · 4 mins read