ECB Watch Phasing out support despite peripheral crisis The ECB faces the difficult task this month of weighing up the periphery’s disastrous situation on the one hand and pretty strong growth in the core euro-zone economies on the other. With the region’s... 25th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Ireland's fiscal plans will do little to ease markets' fears The recent increase in political uncertainty and rising concerns about banks’ near-term funding needs have only added to Ireland’s problems. Indeed, the further details on the shape of the fiscal... 24th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update When will euro-zone office rental values recover their 2008 highs? Reflecting improvements in economic activity, there have recently been isolated reports of rising prime office rental values in parts of the euro-zone. While the floor for rents is now behind us... 24th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Nov.) November’s German Ifo survey suggests that, while the euro-zone’s periphery remains mired in economic gloom, strong German growth is continuing to support the recovery in the region as a whole for now... 24th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Will Spain be the undoing of the euro-zone? With Ireland finally accepting a bailout, attention has turned to who might be next. Spain’s position is far less precarious, but there are some worrying similarities. And given the economy’s size... 23rd November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs (Nov.) November’s surprise rise in the euro-zone PMI survey suggests that the economy has continued to expand amid the turmoil in the periphery. 23rd November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Ireland still has a mountain to climb News that Ireland has formally requested financial support has prompted a further drop in Irish bond yields and a small rise in the euro. But Ireland still faces a daunting set of fiscal and economic... 22nd November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly What will an Irish bailout package look like? Over the past week, it has become increasingly clear that it is now a matter of when, rather than if, Ireland receives some kind of financial support package. But there are still several unanswered... 22nd November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Will Portugal inevitably follow Ireland? With Ireland on the brink of accepting some kind of bail-out, fears of contagion have intensified. While Portugal is clearly the next in line, it is in a better position than Ireland, which means that... 19th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Falls in Norwegian industrial yields look unsustainable Recent falls in Norwegian industrial yields have been a little surprising given the still fragile fundamentals for industrial occupier demand and rental value growth. As such, we think that the... 18th November 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update What does the Irish crisis mean for the UK? Concerns have grown that the Irish debt crisis could have severe consequences for the UK economy. But our impression is that any effects on the UK economy are likely to be pretty small. 17th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Spanish GDP (Q3) The Spanish GDP figures confirmed that the economy narrowly avoided re-entering recession in Q3. But with the full force of the fiscal squeeze yet to be felt and global demand set to slow, it may not... 17th November 2010 · 1 min read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Investment market upturn petering out There are clear signs that investment demand for Western European commercial property is beginning to fade. Across the region, transaction volumes have begun to fall, or have levelled off at... 17th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Support would not solve all Ireland's problems It seems increasingly likely that Ireland may soon bow to pressure and ask for financial support. But while such an outcome may temporarily settle the markets, the fundamental picture will remain... 16th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW (Nov.) & EZ Final CPI (Oct.) November’s rise in German ZEW investor sentiment suggests that the euro-zone’s core has remained encouragingly resilient to the periphery’s troubles for now. But we still see German growth slowing... 16th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Recovery slowing as peripheral woes deepen This week has seen worries about the euro-zone’s periphery escalate again, with Ireland in the spotlight. While the gradually emerging details of a permanent “crisis resolution mechanism” have helped... 15th November 2010 · 1 min read
