US Commercial Property Update NCREIF Q3 2026: Residential showing signs of weakness Quarterly total returns of 1.4% on the NPI were again driven almost entirely by the income component, as capital values nudged only slightly higher in Q3. There are signs of growing sector... 27th October 2026 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Aug. 2026) Although house prices posted another healthy rise in August, momentum will quickly fade as the backward-looking price indices begin to capture the recent collapse in housing demand in response to... 27th October 2026 · 2 mins read
Global Economics Update France's fiscal warning to the rest of the world The sell-off in French bonds is a warning for governments elsewhere, but we doubt it is the start of a broad fiscal crisis. Few advanced economies have comparably poor fiscal arithmetic, and those... 27th October 2026 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Iran cost shock to hit office and retail development hardest Construction costs are likely to rise by 5% or more due to the Iran war, far less than the 17% increase brought about by the Ukraine war. Nevertheless, that will impact on an already weak development... 26th October 2026 · 3 mins read
US Economics Update Will the drop in equities limit the scale of Fed hikes? Despite higher bond yields, strong equity price gains are keeping overall financial conditions supportive of economic activity. The equity market correction we expect next year should prevent the Fed... 26th October 2026 · 5 mins read
Canada Chart Pack Canada Chart Pack (Oct. 2026) GDP growth looks to have lost some momentum in the third quarter, and headwinds from new tariffs and ongoing CUSMA uncertainty will weigh on activity over the next few quarters. While most measures of... 26th October 2026 · 1 min read
Capital Daily Tech earnings vs central bank caution A hectic week for politics, central banks and corporate earnings reports may well be dominated by continued jitters around the sustainability of the AI equity boom. Over the past couple of weeks, they... 26th October 2026 · 4 mins read
Canada Economics Weekly The midterms don’t mean enough for Ottawa to interfere Accusations that Ottawa is meddling in the upcoming midterm elections are unfounded given that which party holds Congress from next year will have little bearing on the state of the trading... 23rd October 2026 · 4 mins read
US Economics Weekly Fall in yields won’t necessarily reduce the debt burden While this week's fall in bond yields will be a welcome development for the Treasury, it doesn't mean that fiscal risks have diminished. Yields are still higher than they were just a few months ago... 23rd October 2026 · 6 mins read
Capital Daily Average firm unlikely to shrug off an AI bust Most firms in the S&P 500 have so far managed to shrug off the falls in tech stocks over recent days, thanks in large part to a boost from falling Treasury yields. But we expect tech stocks, non-tech... 23rd October 2026 · 3 mins read
Canada Rapid Response Canada Retail Sales (Aug. 2026) The broad-based rise in retail sales in August largely reflects a rebound from July rather than a genuine strengthening in consumer demand, though there were still signs in the data that households... 23rd October 2026 · 2 mins read
China Economics Weekly China’s long chase after the US AI Goliath China’s AI computing capacity is expanding rapidly, but the gap with the US remains substantial and could widen further. Chinese AI models are likely to remain competitive. But limited access to... 23rd October 2026 · 4 mins read
US Fed Watch Fed to sit tight in October Although the latest hot inflation readings and rise in inflation expectations will concern Fed officials, they still appear broadly intent on tightening policy at a measured pace. We therefore expect... 22nd October 2026 · 8 mins read
Capital Daily The macroeconomic limitations on S&P 500 earnings growth Although S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) have grown far more quickly than the US economy since the start of the AI revolution, this isn’t bound to last even if Q3 2026 is another bumper earnings... 22nd October 2026 · 4 mins read
Bank of Canada Watch Bank to finally hike with inflation risks too great to ignore The shift in the Bank of Canada’s language towards emphasising inflation risks from higher oil prices and downplaying the growth impact of new tariffs suggests a 25bp hike, to 2.50%, is finally on the... 22nd October 2026 · 6 mins read
US Chart Pack US Chart Pack (Oct. 2026) Strong AI-related investment and resilient consumption should cause GDP growth to rebound in the third quarter and maintain a growth rate of about 2.5% in the coming year. Despite the recent slowdown... 22nd October 2026 · 1 min read
