FX Markets Focus How undervalued is the renminbi? Even though the renminbi is at its strongest level against the US dollar since 2022, in real trade-weighted terms it remains close to its weakest in more than a decade. In our assessment, it is... 6th October 2026 · 19 mins read
Asia Economics Update China Shock 2.0: a growing challenge for Korea China’s rise up the manufacturing value chain is putting increasing pressure on Korean producers. The impact has been particularly pronounced in batteries, petrochemicals and shipbuilding, where... 5th October 2026 · 3 mins read
Japan Economics Update Financial stability concerns won’t derail rate hikes While higher bond yields are creating valuation losses, higher interest rates are lifting banks’ lending margins. What’s more, higher rates are not creating major problems for insurance firms. The... 5th October 2026 · 4 mins read
China Economics Weekly AI trade surplus rising, despite surge in chip imports China's trade deficit in chips and computing equipment has increasing significantly over the past year as imports have surged. But an even larger pick-up in exports of other goods required to build... 2nd October 2026 · 4 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Rapid and lopsided growth in Korea, CBSL on hold Recent Korean data have been mixed, with weak consumer spending being offset by continued strength in exports. We expect the economy to grow by 4% this year. Meanwhile, Sri Lanka’s central bank left... 2nd October 2026 · 4 mins read
India Economics Weekly Activity data provide comfort ahead of rate hike The upbeat activity data released this week will have provided the RBI with some extra comfort ahead of next week's policy announcement. With rising inflation the key focus, we expect a 25bp increase... 2nd October 2026 · 3 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Upside risks to our interest rate forecasts are growing The data released this week vindicate the Bank of Japan’s concerns about upside risks to inflation and we expect the Bank to keep hiking rates once every quarter. With few signs that higher interest... 2nd October 2026 · 5 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Japan Tankan (Q3 26) The Q3 Tankan survey showed that overall business conditions were the most favourable in decades, which should encourage the Bank of Japan to keep tightening policy at a faster pace 1st October 2026 · 2 mins read
RBI Watch RBI poised to kick off hiking cycle The consensus has come around to our view that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will hike the repo rate by 25bp to 5.50% at the conclusion of the upcoming MPC meeting on Wednesday 7th October. After... 30th September 2026 · 7 mins read
China Economics Update China's targeted stimulus not enough, fiscal push remains key China’s latest stimulus package eschews broad-based easing in favour of targeted measures to support housing demand and bank lending to specific sectors. It is unlikely to have a big impact on its own... 30th September 2026 · 6 mins read
China Rapid Response China PMIs (Sep. 2026) The PMI readings for September were reassuring. Downward pressure on construction activity eased markedly, reflecting the fading impact of typhoon disruptions and a likely pick-up in fiscal spending... 30th September 2026 · 2 mins read
Capital Daily Where to hide from the bond market rout Most assets would be affected if US yields continued to rise, but some – including bonds in economies with less-ingrained price pressures and weak currencies – might be the best of a bad bunch. 30th September 2026 · 3 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Japan Industrial Production & Retail Sales (Aug. 26) The sharp fall in industrial output in August probably reflects disruptions from the Kumamoto earthquake and won’t be sustained 30th September 2026 · 2 mins read
Asia Economic Outlook AI boosting Asian growth, but support will fade Booming exports of AI-related products have helped offset the drag from higher energy prices and should continue to support growth across most of Asia in the near term. The AI boom is not feeding... 29th September 2026 · 25 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Tight EM credit spreads mask lingering fiscal risks Measures of EM fiscal risk premia are very low, which partly reflects genuine policy improvements in some high-risk economies. But a few countries such as Mozambique and Tunisia still face the risk of... 29th September 2026 · 3 mins read
China Economics Update US-China tariff tweaks don’t change the bigger picture The US and China have announced significant tariff cuts on goods covered by the new bilateral Board of Trade. But the scheme only covers “non-sensitive” goods that make up a small share of China’s... 28th September 2026 · 4 mins read
