India Economics Weekly GST 2.0, infrastructure drive, CPI data Upcoming simplifications to India’s Goods and Services Tax (GST) confirmed by the Finance Ministry this week will result in a slightly larger fiscal deficit this year and next, as well as provide a... 5th September 2025 · 4 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Deflation concerns should pass Outside of China, there is no immediate threat of any other country in Asia falling into a prolonged period of deflation. Nevertheless, inflation across the region should remain low, which will give... 5th September 2025 · 5 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Japan will be able to cope with higher bond yields While the yield on 30-year Japanese Government Bonds hit a fresh multi-year high this week, this doesn’t pose a near-term threat to the sustainability of Japan’s public finances. After all, shorter... 5th September 2025 · 4 mins read
Asia Rapid Response Malaysia: Monetary Policy Meeting (September 2025) 4th September 2025 · 2 mins read
Equities Update Japan’s stock market still looks appealing Foreign investors have generally been piling into Japan’s stock market in recent months, presumably encouraged by, among other things, the country’s recent trade deal with the US, the continued... 3rd September 2025 · 6 mins read
India Economics Focus Inside India’s infrastructure drive The government’s post-pandemic infrastructure drive is helping to ease some of the bottlenecks that have previously constrained India’s economy, with particular success in developing port, railway and... 3rd September 2025 · 12 mins read
Japan Economic Outlook Japan will continue to shrug off global trade tensions GDP growth will slow from its current above-trend rate to a more sustainable pace as external demand softens. However, with consumption growth still healthy and underlying inflation set to remain... 3rd September 2025 · 17 mins read
Global Economics Focus Fracturing in the Age of Trump The global geopolitical map could have been redrawn by the end of Donald Trump’s second term. Some form of rapprochement between the US and China is conceivable in the next few years, as is a... 2nd September 2025 · 38 mins read
Asia Economics Update Indonesia protests: assessing the economic fallout The latest bout of unrest in Indonesia is unlikely to deliver a significant blow to the economy, but it is a symptom of underlying economic weaknesses and highlights political risks that could erode... 2nd September 2025 · 3 mins read
Japan Economics Focus Profits will hold up better than the Bank of Japan expects While the Bank of Japan is worried that trade tensions will weigh on profits, business investment and wage growth, profits have in fact held up well so far and we expect that to remain the case going... 2nd September 2025 · 16 mins read
Asia Economics Update Korea: worries about financial risks overblown Worries that interest rate cuts in Korea are stoking financial risks look overdone. Property prices across most of the country are either flat or falling, while household debt is declining as a share... 1st September 2025 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Update Asia Manufacturing PMIs (August) The August PMI readings for most countries in Asia were subdued and we continue to expect manufacturing in the region to struggle in the near term. And with inflation set to remain contained, we think... 1st September 2025 · 3 mins read
China Rapid Response China PMIs (Aug. 2025) The rise in the RatingDog services PMI provides further evidence that the economy regained some momentum last month, supported by faster growth in the services sector. But given weak domestic demand... 1st September 2025 (Updated 3rd September 2025) · 2 mins read
India Economics Weekly Strong H1, additional US tariff comes in, Modi-Xi meeting The strength of the Q2 GDP data leaves the economy on course to grow by 7% this year, but it is facing a more challenging 2026 as punitive US tariffs hit. Geopolitics will dominate the headlines next... 29th August 2025 · 3 mins read
Commodities Weekly Trump tariffs targeting Russian oil yet to shock the oil market The oil market shrugged off the introduction of US "secondary" tariffs on India this week and we expect this to continue to have little impact as long as India continues to purchase Russian oil and... 29th August 2025 · 4 mins read
