Asia Economics Weekly Asia Weekly: Trump's tariffs and what they mean for Asia Most countries in Asia will face tariffs of 15–25% on their exports to the US. While the tariffs are higher than we initially assumed, the impact on most countries will be manageable since they won’t... 1st August 2025 · 7 mins read
India Economics Weekly India Weekly: Trump's tariffs on India come with a Russian edge India will be hit by a 25% US tariff and that rate could climb higher depending on the nature of the as-yet-unspecified penalty due to its economic ties to Russia. But with trade talks between the US... 1st August 2025 · 4 mins read
China Economics Weekly China Weekly: The new US tariff landscape, fiscal constraints The new reciprocal tariff rates mean that Chinese exports will become more competitive in the US. But planned duties on transhipped goods are a threat, albeit a less serious one than some think... 1st August 2025 · 6 mins read
Global Economics Update New US tariff regime still not the end of the story President Trump’s latest flurry of tariffs implies that the US effective tariff rate will rise to about 18%, from 2.3% last year. That is a little higher than we assumed and so presents modest... 1st August 2025 · 5 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Japan Weekly: Trade tensions unlikely to reduce wage growth much While the Bank of Japan became more upbeat about the outlook for inflation this week, it still thinks that trade tensions will result in a slower wage growth via lower corporate profits. However, with... 1st August 2025 · 5 mins read
Asia Economics Update Asia Manufacturing PMIs (July) The July PMI readings for most countries in Asia were subdued and we continue to expect activity in Asia’s export-oriented manufacturing sectors to struggle in the coming months. And with inflation... 1st August 2025 · 2 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Update APAC sentiment trails other regions in Q2 RICS survey The latest RICS survey showed that overall sentiment in Asia-Pacific is weaker than in other regions, but that there is significant variance within the region. Japan and Australia stood out as clear... 1st August 2025 · 3 mins read
Emerging Markets Financial Risk Monitor EM Financial Risk Monitor (Jul. 2025) Most EM currencies have strengthened against the dollar in recent months. Limited external vulnerabilities – our aggregate EM currency crisis risk indicator remains near multi-decade lows – have... 31st July 2025 · 1 min read
China Chart Pack China Chart Pack (Jul. 25) China’s economy slowed in Q2, despite industrial activity holding up well in the face of US tariffs. With US-China ties improving, we don’t think tariffs will be as significant of a drag on growth as... 31st July 2025 · 0 mins read
Asia Chart Pack Asia Chart Pack (July 2025) Our Asia Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. The trade deals agreed so far suggest that most countries in Asia will eventually end up facing... 31st July 2025 · 0 mins read
China Rapid Response Hong Kong GDP (Q2 Preliminary) Note: We are resending this Response due to a technical error. Apologies for any inconvenience caused. Plunge in HIBOR boosting consumption growth Hong Kong’s GDP growth surprised to the upside... 31st July 2025 · 2 mins read
Asia Rapid Response Taiwan GDP (Q2 2025, Adv. Estimate) Taiwan’s economy recorded another quarter of strong growth in Q2, of 3.1% q/q, on the back of a boom in exports which more than offset a further slowdown in domestic demand. This pace of growth is... 31st July 2025 · 3 mins read
Japan Economics Update Bank of Japan opening door to year-end rate hike While the Bank of Japan turned a touch more optimistic today, it still sees trade tensions as a major headwind. However, we still believe that policymakers are too pessimistic about the inflation... 31st July 2025 · 3 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Update HK offices won’t reclaim 2018 peaks over the next decade Hong Kong’s office market has long demonstrated resilience in weathering economic storms, but the current downturn is unlike any cycle since at least the 1990s. Facing simultaneous structural and... 31st July 2025 · 4 mins read
