Emerging Markets Economics Chart Pack Emerging Markets Chart Pack (Aug. 2025) Our View: The Q2 GDP figures out so far point to robust growth across much of the emerging world, but we think growth will soften over the second half of the year. While growth across much of Asia... 14th August 2025 · 1 min read
Equities Update Can India’s stock market withstand the tariff storm? The threat to India’s stock market from US tariffs is sizeable, and we suspect that it could fall a lot further if they are implemented as currently proposed. And in fact, we think there are enough... 14th August 2025 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Labour Market (July 2025) The tick down in the unemployment rate in July is likely to keep the RBA on sidelines at its next meeting in September, but we still think the Bank will ultimately loosen policy a bit further than... 14th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Global Commercial Property Update Global CRE needs a reset for real recovery to take hold With interest rates staying high and closed-end funds already sitting on a large volume of investors’ capital, global real estate fundraising looks set to stay in the doldrums. We think the sector... 13th August 2025 · 5 mins read
China Rapid Response China Bank Lending & Broad Credit (Jul.) There was a small pick-up in overall credit growth in China’s economy in July, as a result of a further surge in government borrowing. But bank loan growth has continued to slow, suggesting that... 13th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Capital Daily Recovery in China’s equities may not be over yet The near-term outlook for China’s equities could be quite positive, despite the apparent headwinds. 13th August 2025 · 3 mins read
RBNZ Watch RBNZ’s easing cycle has further to go The RBNZ is all but certain to cut rates by 25bp at its meeting ending on August 20 th. Although inflation is set to remain in the upper half of the Bank’s 1-3% target band in the near-term, we... 13th August 2025 · 5 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Wage Price Index (Q2 2025) 13th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Asia Economics Update The Philippines: Marcos Jr.’s mid-term scorecard Three years into his six-year term, President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. of the Philippines has passed key reforms to improve the country’s business environment and infrastructure. However, worries about... 12th August 2025 · 3 mins read
India Rapid Response India Consumer Prices (Jul. 2025) The larger-than-expected fall in India’s headline inflation rate in July, to an eight-year low, raises the prospect of the RBI cutting interest rates further this year. But with inflation set to... 12th August 2025 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update RBA will lower cash rate to 2.85% by mid-2026 The RBA endorsed market expectations of further easing when it lowered the cash today and we think the Bank will ultimately slash rates to 2.85%. 12th August 2025 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Reserve Bank of Australia Meeting (August 25) 12th August 2025 · 2 mins read
China Economics Update China’s deflation problem isn’t going away Hopes that recent data show China starting to emerge from deflation are likely to be disappointed. The recovery in core goods inflation last month mostly reflects the impact of government subsidies... 11th August 2025 · 3 mins read
Commodities Update Weak Chinese LNG imports to loosen overall market Weak Chinese LNG demand has been a striking feature of the LNG market in 2025, and we suspect demand will remain soft into next year. Given China is the world’s largest buyer of LNG, weaker Chinese... 11th August 2025 · 3 mins read
China Economics Weekly “Semiconductor” tariffs threaten more than just chips Trump's plan to impose tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals isn't a big threat at face value – chips and pharma only make up a small fraction of China's exports to the US. But there is a risk... 8th August 2025 · 8 mins read
