Commodities Outlook Investor-led rally running out of road Following a spectacular rebound from pandemic-induced lows, we continue to expect that most commodity prices will be falling again by end-2021. Although growth in demand should be strong as the global... 27th April 2021 · 2 mins read
Metals Data Response Global Steel Production (Mar.) Global steel production continued to rise in March, no doubt incentivised by high prices. Growth in demand in some key markets, such as the US and China, has been strong, but we suspect that... 22nd April 2021 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly Slew of positive data gives fresh fuel to price rally Most commodity prices rose this week following a batch of positive economic data releases. Oil prices were up particularly strongly on the back of a larger-than-expected weekly decline in US crude... 16th April 2021 · 6 mins read
Industrial Metals Update China trade: how are our predictions stacking up? The latest China trade data show that ore imports are rebounding, though scrap imports remain subdued. Meanwhile, imports of refined copper have seen a renewed surge. Nevertheless, we continue to... 15th April 2021 · 2 mins read
Energy Chart Pack Oil prices to climb higher, despite recent setbacks Strong growth in industrial demand helped push up the prices of energy commodities used primarily in power generation last month, but oil prices slipped back. We continue to expect average energy... 12th April 2021 · 7 mins read
Metals Chart Pack The outlook for metals darkens Aside from the temporary blockade of the Suez Canal, March was a relatively uneventful month for industrial metals prices. Nevertheless, we still expect prices to fall this year as mine supply... 9th April 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly Mixed economic outlook poses a quandary for prices It was a relatively quiet week in commodities markets, with weakness in the US dollar giving agricultural commodities, in particular, a bit of a lift. We think markets could struggle to find a clear... 9th April 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Chart Pack Commodity prices to take a breather in the near term A rise in new coronavirus infections in many parts of the world, including Europe and India, weighed on investor sentiment in commodity markets in March. However, all the signs point to a rapid... 7th April 2021 · 7 mins read
Commodities Weekly Impact of Suez blockage likely to be short-lived Commodities markets were something of a mixed bag this week. The grounding of a container ship in the Suez Canal helped to prop up the prices of some commodities despite growing worries over the... 26th March 2021 · 6 mins read
Metals Watch The outlook is brighter for palladium than platinum In this Metals Watch, we examine the outlook for supply and demand of platinum and palladium to determine the direction of their prices over the next couple of years. 24th March 2021 · 5 mins read
Metals Data Response Global Steel Production (Feb.) Growth in global steel production declined in February y/y. And though base effects will distort growth rates for a while yet, we reckon that China’s steel output growth will start to slow before long... 23rd March 2021 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly Optimists need a little patience Commodities markets experienced a bit of a reality check this week, with prices falling despite little material change in the underlying demand and supply fundamentals. In the same way that optimism... 19th March 2021 · 5 mins read
Commodities Focus The anatomy of a supercycle History shows that supercycles are usually demand-driven, and that the performance of individual commodity prices has varied hugely both within and between past supercycles. In addition, supercycles... 17th March 2021 · 13 mins read
Industrial Metals Update Tsingshan news to cap nickel price News on a potential breakthrough in the supply of nickel matte from Tsingshan has dampened nickel prices. Rather than a step-change in nickel market supply, we reckon that this development will simply... 17th March 2021 · 3 mins read
Commodities Update Rally in metals prices reminiscent of post-GFC Industrial metals prices have soared recently to multi-year highs. But we think the rally is unsustainable. In fact, it cements our view that slowing growth in China will drag prices lower by end-2021... 10th March 2021 · 3 mins read
Commodities Weekly Oil prices making up for lost time It was a relatively two-sided affair in commodities markets this week. On the one hand, oil prices rose on the back of greater-than-expected output restraint announced by OPEC+. And on the other hand... 5th March 2021 · 8 mins read
