US Data Response Employment Report (Oct.) October's employment report was stronger than expected and, at the margin, reduces the risk we will actually see the unemployment rate edge higher over the coming months. Nevertheless, there is still... 5th November 2010 · 1 min read
Canada Data Response Labour Force Survey (Oct.) Having fully recovered the number of jobs lost during the recession, employment growth has now started to slow. Unfortunately, with the economic recovery losing momentum, prospects for employment... 5th November 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Services will cushion Singapore's economic slowdown Singapore’s labour market stayed strong in Q3 while the October manufacturing sector PMI, published today, picked up and suggests that the slowdown in industry and exports is close to bottoming out... 2nd November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash CPI (Oct.) & Unemployment (Sep.) The latest euro-zone unemployment and inflation data attest to the absence of price pressures in the region. As inflation drops back next year, we think the ECB is more likely to up its unconventional... 29th October 2010 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Unemployment, Output & CPI (Sep.) Japan's manufacturing output fell in the third quarter, reflecting both weaker exports and the expiry of government car subsidies at home. The outlook for Q4 is grim. However, other parts of the... 29th October 2010 · 1 min read
US Employment Report Preview Struggling to find a higher gear (Oct 10) Our econometric model indicates that payroll employment increased by a disappointing 50,000 in October, suggesting that the labour market recovery is still struggling to find a higher gear. Private... 28th October 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Still battling to achieve fiscal stability Last week was characterised by fairly downbeat news on economic activity and ongoing struggles to achieve fiscal goals. Although the German business surveys remained positive, October’s fall in the... 25th October 2010 · 1 min read
UK Data Response UK Labour Data (Aug./Sep.) The labour market recovery appears to be faltering, even before the public sector job cuts really begin. We stand by our long-held view that unemployment will eventually rise all the way to 3 million... 13th October 2010 · 1 min read
UK Data Response UK Labour Data (Aug./Sep.) The labour market recovery appears to be faltering, even before the public sector job cuts really begin. We stand by our long-held view that unemployment will eventually rise all the way to 3 million... 13th October 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Low company failures keep a lid on redundancies One explanation for the relatively small drop in employment during this recession is the muted pickup in company insolvencies. But a number of factors could prompt insolvencies to rise further... 12th October 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Low company failures keep a lid on redundancies One explanation for the relatively small drop in employment during this recession is the muted pickup in company insolvencies. But a number of factors could prompt insolvencies to rise further... 12th October 2010 · 1 min read
US Data Response Employment Report (Sep.) September's payroll report adds to the evidence that the recovery is losing what little forward momentum it had and will harden the resolve of the more dovish Fed officials to press forward with... 8th October 2010 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Labour Cash Earnings (Aug) August's headline data on labour cash earnings were weaker than expected but the breakdown is reassuring and the underlying trends in employment income are continuing to improve. Meanwhile, the Bank... 4th October 2010 · 1 min read
US Economics Weekly Fed edging towards more QE It is looking increasingly likely that the Fed will announce a new round of quantitative easing, probably before the end of the year. Our guess is that it will opt for a smaller scale open-ended... 4th October 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Unemployment (Aug.) Euro-zone unemployment figures for August showed further signs of improvement in labour market conditions in some core economies but unemployment continued to rise in the peripheral economies. 1st October 2010 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Unemployment, Spending & CPI (Aug.) This week's wave of Japanese data has ended on a more positive note, with the unemployment rate falling in August for the second successive month, household spending firm, and the CPI no worse than... 1st October 2010 · 1 min read
