UK Housing Market Chart Pack UK Housing Market Chart Pack (Aug. 2023) This new Chart Pack has been designed to replace our Chart Book in response to client feedback to make our insights more accessible, and with more options to incorporate them into your workflow. Use... 25th August 2023 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update How concerning is the decline in industrial take-up? The sharp drop in industrial take-up in recent quarters may be a sign that the sector is becoming more vulnerable to changes in economic conditions. Indeed, the decline has coincided with a 25% drop... 24th August 2023 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Flat prices likely to outperform Having risen in value by much less than houses over the past three years, flats were selling at the biggest discount to houses on record at the beginning of the year. But higher mortgage costs are... 24th August 2023 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update An end in sight to the German retail rout? The German retail market has been one of the weakest in Europe since the beginning of 2022 and rental performance so far in 2023 has been well below the euro-zone average. But, with consumer... 24th August 2023 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack US Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q3 2023) All-property values are down by 10% from their mid-2022 peaks, but we think there is still another 15% to come by the end of 2024. Much of that price fall will be driven by a rise in cap rates in... 23rd August 2023 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Valuation Monitor Europe Commercial Property Valuation Monitor (Q3 2023) Property yields rose across all sectors and markets in Q2. However, this was somewhat offset by rises in bond yields in most countries. As a result, valuations remain stretched in all sectors, with... 23rd August 2023 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Outlook Returns underpinned by income After a brief respite earlier this year, property yields are once again on the rise, driven by a further increase in gilt yields. We don’t expect a repeat of the surge seen last year, but we also... 21st August 2023 · 23 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Apartment completions likely to stay strong until 2025 We continue to expect historic highs for apartment completions in 2023-24 even though there are signs some will be deferred. This also means that, although new permits have dropped back amid softer... 18th August 2023 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q3 2023) Our Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. The slowdown in rent growth in the first half of this year is likely to persist... 18th August 2023 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Our revised yield model suggests the peak is close Property yields have risen less sharply this year, but there remains considerable uncertainty about where they will peak. We returned to our yield model for guidance and, while a re-specified equation... 18th August 2023 · 3 mins read
China Economics Update Policy paralysis has dented near-term outlook China’s economy has stalled recently and headwinds are still intensifying on multiple fronts. The lack of a stronger stimulus response partly reflects a greater tolerance for economic weakness. But it... 17th August 2023 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Arrears edge higher as BTL mortgage rates hit 6% Mortgage arrears were still low in Q2, but the number of Buy-to-Let (BTL) mortgages in early arrears increased at an alarming pace. We suspect that will continue in Q3. A growing number of landlords... 17th August 2023 · 4 mins read
China Economics Update Country Garden is Evergrande-lite but worse-timed Financial problems at Country Garden, once considered among China’s strongest developers, will further undermine confidence among homebuyers and creditors, exacerbating the property downturn. The... 16th August 2023 · 6 mins read
US Commercial Property Update How remote work could impact US city revenues On the back of the remote work revolution, US downtowns have seen reduced office-led footfall and rising crime rates. Cities will need to be proactive to drive conversion to alternative use and to... 15th August 2023 · 4 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Shopping centre rental recovery peters out In contrast to shops and retail warehouses, the nascent recovery in shopping centre rents has already faded. The shift to remote work and greater exposure to online competition has led to relatively... 14th August 2023 · 3 mins read
