Canada Economics Update

Canada Housing Watch (Jul. 2024)

Further interest rate cuts from the Bank of Canada should breathe some life into the housing market in the coming months, but the dimmer outlook for rent growth and apartment prices present downside...

16th July 2024 · 4 mins read

US Commercial Property Update

Flight to more affordable South set to continue

Many households have left western metros in favor of those in the South over the past two years. With remote working looking like a permanent fixture of office-based jobs and affordability...

16th July 2024 · 4 mins read

US Housing Market Outlook

Market still tight, but slowly moving towards balance

We expect mortgage rates to continue falling, but not by enough to fully offset the effects of mortgage rate ‘lock-in’. As a result, although we expect existing home sales to rebound, we forecast that...

16th July 2024 · 15 mins read

Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack

Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack (Jul 2024)

The latest data indicate that capacity pressures have continued to ease, a trend that should continue over the coming quarters. However, it will be a while before policymakers can be confident that...

15th July 2024 · 1 min read

Japan Economics Focus

Higher interest rates won’t trigger housing meltdown

While higher interest rates will make owner-occupied housing less affordable, the Bank of Japan will only tighten policy gradually so detached house prices will probably hold up well. By contrast...

15th July 2024 · 15 mins read

Canada Economics Weekly

Rate cuts will offer relief to housing this year

The latest housing market data paint an almost ideal picture for the Bank of Canada, with activity improving, but little sign of a surge in house prices that could derail the downward trend in core...

12th July 2024 · 6 mins read

Europe Commercial Property Update

Sweden REIT distress unlikely to derail recovery

The downgrading of Sweden’s SBB to selective default last week is the latest development for a property market that has faced some of the most acute debt refinancing pressure in Europe. The saga will...

11th July 2024 · 3 mins read

UK Housing Market Update

RICS Residential Market Survey (Jun. 2024)

Revival unlikely to materialise as soon as surveyors hope While demand continued to slip back in June, surveyors were optimistic it would soon pick up. Given elevated mortgage rates we suspect the...

11th July 2024 · 3 mins read

UK Commercial Property Update

Do the latest job figures hint at weaker office rents?

UK employment has faltered of late and, though growth is expected to improve, no return to the buoyancy of the recent past is in prospect. While headcount has become a weaker indicator of office...

10th July 2024 · 3 mins read

US Commercial Property Update

Industrial supply risks look most pointed in Phoenix

The legacy of the post-pandemic industrial construction boom is now being felt in rising supply across most metros. With the demand outlook stabilising, we think the evolution of supply will shape...

9th July 2024 · 4 mins read

US Commercial Property Update

Near-term laggard but US to outperform longer term

The slower adjustment to past rises in interest rates and sharper hit to office demand mean US property is set to underperform European property over the next five years. But unlike equities, we think...

8th July 2024 · 3 mins read

Canada Economics Weekly

Weakness boosts odds of another rate cut

There was little to be encouraged by this week, with labour market conditions continuing to soften, the business surveys weak and the real estate board data pointing to a risk of renewed falls in...

5th July 2024 · 4 mins read

UK Housing Market Rapid Response

UK Halifax House Prices (Jun. 2024)

As the first economic data release under a Labour government since 2010, the decline in Halifax house prices in June meant that Labour’s tenure got off to a slightly downbeat start. However, while we...

5th July 2024 · 2 mins read

Canada Chart Pack

Canada Chart Pack (Jul. 2024)

We expect that a sustained period of below potential growth will help bring core inflation to the 2% target by the end of the year and persuade the Bank of Canada to cut interest rates further, with...

4th July 2024 · 1 min read

Europe Commercial Property Update

Latest trade data spell good news for Iberian ports

Timely estimates of trade through Europe’s busiest seaports so far this year have broadly mirrored relative economic performance across Europe, as volumes through Iberia’s ports have recovered while...

4th July 2024 · 3 mins read