Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly KOF hits decade-high; retail sugar-rush starting to fade The Swiss economy contracted by more than those in the Nordics in the first half of the year but appears to have rebounded strongly in the third quarter. Rising virus cases in the country are... 28th August 2020 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Switzerland GDP (Q2) Data released this morning show that the Swiss economy weathered the crisis comparatively well in the first half of the year. While its fortunes are closely tied to those in the euro-zone, signs that... 27th August 2020 · 3 mins read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Scandinavia & Switzerland: Retail not off the hook yet Q2 data was a mixed bag as all markets recorded shifts in yields while only a handful of markets saw moves in rents. That said, Scandinavian investment activity took a significant hit in Q2, and... 24th August 2020 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Recovery on track after comparatively shallow slump Compared to many of the larger euro-zone countries, the coronavirus remains relatively well under control in the Nordic countries and Switzerland. With the exception of Denmark, there are at this... 13th August 2020 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Swedish experience dashes hopes of rapid recoveries The fact that the contraction in Swedish GDP in Q2 was smaller than elsewhere in Europe understandably took the headlines this week. However, Sweden’s experience still demonstrates the extent to which... 7th August 2020 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Switzerland CPI (July), Manufacturing PMIs (July) Inflation in Switzerland now appears to have troughed, but it is set to remain frustratingly weak over the coming years and a headache for the SNB. Meanwhile, the manufacturing PMIs from July suggest... 3rd August 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Switzerland KOF Economic Barometer (July) While the flare-up in cases in Europe is a key downside risk, the sharp increase in the KOF Economic Barometer in July suggests that the Swiss economy continued to bounce back at the start of Q3. 30th July 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Switzerland CPI (Jun.) The lack of price pressures in Switzerland is nothing new, but will ensure that the SNB remains poised to combat bouts of upward pressure on the franc for the foreseeable future. 2nd July 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Jun.) The manufacturing PMIs from June add to the evidence that activity in Sweden and Norway has recovered comparatively quickly, but suggest that Swiss manufacturing is taking longer to find its feet. 1st July 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Switzerland KOF (Jun.), Retail Sales (May) The underwhelming increase in the KOF Economic Barometer in June is at odds with the chunky rise in the euro-zone PMIs. Nonetheless, the surge in Swiss retail sales in May shows that the economy has... 30th June 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Nordic consumers making up for lost time The fact that retail sales volumes grew in year-on-year terms in the Nordic economies in May suggests that the Covid-related drops in consumption may end up being much smaller than we have assumed up... 26th June 2020 · 6 mins read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Outlook Scandi & Swiss: Yield rises to reverse, except for retail The sharp reduction in economic activity over the first half of the year and prolonged uncertainty have negatively impacted investment activity and occupier demand. We expect this will flow through to... 26th June 2020 · 18 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Revised forecasts; policy stasis; football is back! Amid increasing signs that the Nordic economies have weathered the Covid crisis better than most we have upgraded our forecasts for GDP growth, and expect some clear daylight between growth in Sweden... 19th June 2020 · 4 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update SNB & Norges Bank to maintain the status quo This morning’s decisions by the SNB and the Norges Bank to leave interest rates on hold at -0.75% and zero respectively were never really in doubt. Both banks are set to leave policy unchanged... 18th June 2020 · 3 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Nordic economies closer to ‘normal’ than most The latest high frequency data indicate that economic activity in the Nordic economies has continued to recover in recent weeks, with trips to shops and restaurants now close to pre-crisis levels in... 12th June 2020 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Sweden is weathering Covid comparatively well The 11% peak-to-trough drop in Swedish household consumption between February and April puts paid to any notion that Sweden has escaped unscathed following its light-touch lockdown. Nonetheless, the... 12th June 2020 · 4 mins read