US Commercial Property Rapid Response Flagging previous climate risk notes In light of both Hurricanes Helene and Milton we are flagging notes where we highlighted the physical climate risks facing the US. 14th October 2024 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Mortgage Applications (Sep. 2024) The impact of lower mortgage rates was finally evident in mortgage applications in September, with applications for home purchase rebounding to a three-month high. With mortgage rates falling to... 2nd October 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response New Home Sales (Aug. 2024) New home sales dropped back slightly in August, which always seemed likely after the 10% surge in transactions the month before, driven by pent-up buyers responding to lower borrowing costs. Still... 25th September 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Jul. 2024) Another muted 0.2% rise in house prices in July adds to the sense that the housing market is cooling amid weak buyer demand and growing supply. As price growth continues to moderate quickly with no... 24th September 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Existing Home Sales (Aug. 2024) The slump in existing home sales in August shows that the sharp fall in mortgage rates since late-July is yet to stimulate the market, although the signs of life in last week’s purchase mortgage... 19th September 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Housing Starts (Aug. 2024) The large rise in housing starts in August was due to a rebound in starts in the south, confirming that the July slump was a temporary disruption caused by Hurricane Beryl. The increase in permits... 18th September 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Mortgage Applications (Aug. 2024) The drop in home purchase mortgage applications in August is surprising given the sharp fall in mortgage rates the month before. Some would-be buyers may be delaying their purchases due to increased... 4th September 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Jun. 2024) The muted 0.2% rise in the national Case-Shiller house price index in June was no shock considering that buyer demand collapsed that month, while supply kept growing. With the spring selling season... 27th August 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response New Home Sales (Jul. 2024) The surge in new home sales in July was driven by pent-up buyers taking advantage of the sharp drop in borrowing costs last month, after having been sidelined earlier this year by high mortgage rates... 23rd August 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Existing Home Sales (Jul. 2024) The small rebound in existing home sales in July seems underwhelming after last month’s large drop in mortgage rates, but the data are based on completed transactions and so it will take at least... 22nd August 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Housing Starts (Jul. 2024) The slump in both housing starts and building permits in July, to the lowest levels since the epoch of the pandemic, only partly reflects the temporary impact of Hurricane Beryl. Accordingly, even... 16th August 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Mortgage Applications (Jul. 2024) July was a disappointing month for mortgage activity overall, with earlier high borrowing costs causing home purchase applications to slide by 5.4% m/m. All the attention, however, will be on the last... 7th August 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (May 2024) Another moderate 0.3% m/m rise in house prices in May adds to the evidence that sellers are losing their grip on the market due to increasing supply. Do not write our forecast for a 5% gain in house... 30th July 2024 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response New Home Sales (Jun. 2024) New home sales were essentially unchanged in June after their 15% slump the month before, not helped by mortgage rates which remained stubbornly high at around 7%. So far in July, borrowing costs have... 24th July 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response US Existing Home Sales (Jun. 2024) The sharp rise in mortgage rates in April was the catalyst for existing home sales falling to a 13-year low in June. However, borrowing costs have since receded and timelier indicators of activity... 23rd July 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Housing Starts (Jun. 2024) The rise in housing starts and building permits in June is not as good as it seems at first glance, as it was driven by gains in the volatile multi-family sector, which we think will prove temporary... 17th July 2024 · 2 mins read
