Latin America Rapid Response

Mexico Interest Rate Announcement (Aug. 2026)

Mexico’s central bank (Banxico) kept its policy interest rate on hold at 6.50% at today’s meeting and the overall communications were only marginally more hawkish than in June.

6th August 2026 · 2 mins read

Latin America Rapid Response

Brazil Interest Rate Announcement (Aug. 2026)

Brazil’s central bank (BCB) lowered interest rates by another 25bp today, to 14.00%, but the communications provided a fairly hawkish message on inflation and a signal that the door for further easing...

5th August 2026 · 2 mins read

Latin America Rapid Response

Mexico GDP (Q2 2026 Provisional)

The larger-than-expected 1.5% q/q expansion in Mexico’s GDP partly reflected a recovery after Q1’s fall, and it won’t change the outcome of next week’s central bank meeting (a hold at 6.50% is all but...

30th July 2026 · 2 mins read

Latin America Rapid Response

Brazil IPCA-15 (Jul. 2026)

The drop in mid-month inflation in Brazil in July, to 4.5% y/y, is likely to provide scope for the central bank to deliver another 25bp interest rate cut at next week’s meeting, taking the Selic rate...

28th July 2026 · 2 mins read

Latin America Rapid Response

Brazil IPCA (June 2026)

The small fall in Brazilian inflation to 4.6% y/y in June means that another 25bp interest rate cut at Copom’s August meeting is still in play.

10th July 2026 · 2 mins read

Latin America Rapid Response

Mexico Consumer Prices (June 2026)

The larger-than-expected fall in Mexican inflation, to 3.4% y/y in June, will be welcomed by Banxico and means that interest rates will remain on hold in the near term. That said, we think June...

9th July 2026 · 2 mins read

Latin America Rapid Response

Colombia Interest Rate Announcement (June 2026)

30th June 2026 · 2 mins read

Latin America Rapid Response

Mexico Interest Rate Announcement (Jun. 2026)

25th June 2026 · 1 min read

Latin America Rapid Response

Mexico Bi-Weekly CPI (Jun. 2026)

The larger-than-expected fall in Mexican inflation, to 3.6% y/y in the first half of June will further ease any pressure on Banxico to raise interest rates in the near term. And the statement at...

24th June 2026 · 2 mins read

Latin America Rapid Response

Brazil Interest Rate Announcement (Jun. 2026)

Brazil’s central bank cut interest rates by another 25bp today, to 14.25%, and the accompanying statement appears to leave the door open to further rate cuts.

17th June 2026 · 2 mins read

Latin America Rapid Response

Brazil IPCA (May 2026)

The rise in Brazilian inflation to 4.7% y/y in May keeps next week’s Copom meeting finely balanced between a hold and a 25bp cut. On balance, we think that the former is more likely.

12th June 2026 · 2 mins read

Latin America Rapid Response

Mexico Consumer Prices (May 2026)

The larger-than-expected fall in Mexican inflation, to 3.9% y/y in May, will be welcomed by Banxico and means that the policy rate is likely to remain at 6.50% in the foreseeable future.

9th June 2026 · 2 mins read

Latin America Rapid Response

Brazil GDP (Q1 2026)

The acceleration in GDP growth in Brazil, to an above-consensus 1.1% q/q in Q1, comes alongside a further increase in inflation and a continued strong labour market at the start of the year, and is...

29th May 2026 · 2 mins read

Latin America Rapid Response

Chile GDP (Q1 2026)

Chile’s economy contracted by a larger-than-expected 0.3% q/q in Q1, but the central bank will be more worried about rising inflation. And while our base case is that the policy rate will remain on...

18th May 2026 · 2 mins read

Latin America Rapid Response

Colombia GDP (Q1 2026)

The 0.6% q/q rebound in Colombian GDP in the first quarter – and particularly strong growth in consumer spending – adds to reasons to think that the central bank will opt for at least one more...

15th May 2026 · 2 mins read