Europe Commercial Property Update 2009Q2 RICS survey points to stabilising investment markets The latest global property survey from the RICS, released earlier this week, adds to the mounting, but tentative, evidence that investor demand for European commercial property could be stabilising... 30th July 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Weak lending to restrain investment market recovery Today’s bank lending survey from the ECB, suggests that there is little imminent prospect of an end to the tightening in credit availability and lending criteria for euro-zone businesses. For property... 29th July 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Euro-zone yields stabilise in Q2, but unlikely to have peaked Recent data show yields stabilised in most euro-zone office and retail markets in 2009Q2. While there are reasons to believe this may be the peak for yields, we are sceptical. Investor demand has... 23rd July 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Romania and Hungary – short-term pain, long-term gain? Property investors’ appetite for emerging European markets is low and is unlikely to recover for the foreseeable future. For now, however, stronger economic fundamentals and relatively low risk of... 21st July 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Boost to industrial production not enough to prevent rental decline May’s industrial production data releases for emerging Europe suggest the worst of the sector’s declines may have passed. On the face of it this is good news for industrial property markets. But, as... 14th July 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update German occupier outlook darkens as jobs shake-out gathers pace Thanks to a comparatively small labour market downturn, rental value falls for prime property in Germany have been mild relative to elsewhere in the euro-zone. However, with growing signs that the... 1st July 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Weaker currencies unlikely to halt Scandinavian property downturn Weaker currencies will have made commercial property in Sweden and Norway much cheaper for overseas investors to purchase. However, we doubt that this will prompt a surge in foreign capital inflows to... 25th June 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Euro-zone PMIs suggest rental values will not stabilise this year June’s flash PMIs for the euro-zone showed a modest improvement compared to May, largely driven by a rise in the manufacturing index. Falls in the service sector index, however, suggest that occupier... 24th June 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Emerging Europe rental prospects still best in Poland and Czech Rep We have recently nudged up our economic growth forecasts for Poland and the Czech Republic. However, our revisions still leave growth well below trend, which will do little to boost occupier demand... 18th June 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Poor labour market data emphasise weak outlook for rental values The rate of decline in euro-zone employment accelerated sharply in the first three months of 2009 and, although survey measures of employment intentions have picked up a little, further significant... 16th June 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Were rental value falls a sign of things to come in Russia? Developments in the commercial property market normally tend to follow developments in the real economy with a lag. But with hindsight, it seems that the devastating falls in rental values reported in... 12th June 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Do office and retail property share a common fair-value benchmark? One simple assumption that we have employed to date in our analysis of European commercial property markets is that, in any given market, the fair-value property/bond yield spread for office and... 11th June 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Euro-zone prime office yield convergence: a temporary phase? Since mid-2007, the yield gap for prime office property in five of the euro-zone’s larger office markets has narrowed sharply. To us, this convergence suggests that, to date, investors have not placed... 5th June 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Why has Swiss commercial property been relatively resilient? To date, capital values in Switzerland have held up better than in most other European markets. This seems consistent with the fact that Swiss property did not become significantly overvalued during... 2nd June 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Dutch capital values unlikely to fall as sharp as RICS survey suggests The recent RICS Global Commercial Property Survey suggests that, within Europe, the Netherlands will see the sharpest falls in capital values over the next few months. With property yields already at... 28th May 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Fundamentals for French retail property are still relatively strong According to Agents’ reports, prime retail rental values have yet to fall in France. While this is far from unique within the euro-zone, recent consumer confidence and retail sales data show the... 21st May 2009 · 1 min read
