Europe Commercial Property Update Record take-up points to logistics rental growth across Germany In 2015, German logistics take-up hit a new record. Although the Kiel Institute’s logistics sentiment indicator fell to its lowest level in three years in Q1, consumer goods companies and delivery... 14th April 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update What might Brexit mean for European property? It is most likely that the UK will vote to stay in the EU. However, in the event of a ‘leave’ vote, it is not necessarily the case that European commercial property investment would be immediately... 13th April 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Prague high streets offer decent value despite historically low yields Positive consumer sector fundamentals reinforce our belief that prime retail rental values in Prague will rise by 3.7% p.a. in 2016-18. Low alternative asset yields and positive fundamentals mean that... 8th April 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Are yield falls about to go into reverse in Oslo offices? Early indications from Q1 2016 suggest that office yields in Oslo are coming under upwards pressure. Although consistent with the weakening rental market, this is contrary to our current forecasts... 5th April 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Central European yield falls to outstrip other European sub-regions With property yields in Western Europe at historic lows, investors are looking to core CE markets for higher income returns. This will lead to heightened competition for assets in these markets and... 1st April 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Copenhagen offices set for solid, but unspectacular, rental growth We expect Denmark’s economic recovery to strengthen further, with employment growth in particular solidifying. This will drive a further pick-up in demand for offices and, although much of the new... 31st March 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Further ECB stimuli will keep euro-zone property values rising Despite the ECB’s recent monetary loosening, we expect further stimulus measures will be required to reinvigorate growth and push inflation back towards its target. This will prove to be a net... 23rd March 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Dutch retail rental growth rates upgraded Steady improvement in the Dutch consumer sector in the next few years will support expansionary retailer demand and drive rental growth rates above those we had previously forecast. We now expect... 22nd March 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Can Helsinki office rents rise above the weak economic outlook? Finland’s poor economic outlook will not prevent prime office rents from growing further in the next few years. Indeed, we have bumped up our rental growth forecasts for 2016 and 2017 to 3% and 2.5%... 16th March 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Rising office employment points to rental growth in most markets In 2015, office vacancy rates fell in most euro-zone markets. With supply conditions tightening, and office employment picking up at a steady pace, almost every market will see office rents rise this... 15th March 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update European prime retail rents show no sign of peaking The outlook for European consumers is relatively poor. Nevertheless, we expect a handful of structural factors to keep prime European retail rents on an upwards trend, growing by 3% y/y. 11th March 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Limited supply means the fall in Vienna office rents will be reversed Office rents in Vienna declined last year. But with the office vacancy rate amongst the lowest in the euro-zone, and the supply pipeline small, even low levels of demand will drive rents higher. 9th March 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Budapest retail to produce five years of double-digit returns The recovery in Hungarian consumer spending is likely to be sustained, boosting occupier demand from new entrants. In the absence of new supply, this will drive rents upwards and encourage investment... 8th March 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Should investors be concerned about Poland’s shift to populism? There is a risk that medium-term rental growth in Poland will be lower due to the populous policies pursued by its new government. However, in the short-term, we think property investors will be more... 26th February 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Recent volatility in Portuguese bond yields a worrying sign for property Given the historic correlation between property yields in Lisbon and Portuguese government bond yields, the recent spike in bond yields seems worrying. Although a correction in property yields does... 25th February 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will falling rents push up prime Oslo office yields? Compounded by a negative rental growth outlook, Oslo offices appear overvalued. However, with foreign investors likely to be lured by the historically weak kroner and domestic investors keen on prime... 23rd February 2016 · 1 min read