Industrial Metals Update Sentiment towards metals diverges Sentiment towards metals has diverged since the start of 2017. While investors have remained firmly bullish on precious metals, they have turned more bearish on industrial metals even as prices have... 28th November 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Update Changes in UK tax will not affect oil prices Changes to the tax treatment of some North Sea oil and gas fields will no doubt be welcomed by the industry and could help to prevent production falling back over the next few years. However, we doubt... 23rd November 2017 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Is monetary policy becoming less relevant? The tightening of global monetary policy over the next few years represents a headwind to commodity prices, especially precious metals. However, the reduction in equilibrium interest rates over the... 22nd November 2017 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Stocks suggest that demand is slowing Total exchange stocks of nearly all the metals have fallen since the start of the year, which goes some way to justifying the rally in prices. The exceptions are tin and copper inventories. However... 20th November 2017 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Iron ore vulnerable even without steel output cuts Government-mandated steel production cuts in China this winter will exacerbate the decrease in demand for iron ore resulting from a weak construction sector and a slowdown in economic growth. As such... 17th November 2017 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update China Industrial Metals Demand Monitor (Oct.) China’s October activity and investment data underpin our view that the economy started to slow in the second half of this year and point to softer growth in metals demand. 16th November 2017 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Oil leads the pack Commodity indices have surged over the last month, driven by higher oil prices. This has led to a break in the usually close inverse relationship with the US dollar. The energy sub-index was the best... 15th November 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Update Rise in US coal output not down to Trump The revival in the US coal industry is due to a surge in demand from China and solid domestic consumption, rather than any changes to legislation. However, rising supply, slowing economic growth in... 14th November 2017 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update PGM prices got ahead of themselves After years of oversupply, there are now clear signs that the PGM market is tightening. Falling mine supply should help the market to rebalance, but a higher rate of recycling could put a cap on... 10th November 2017 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Q3 2017 World Gold Council Demand Trends Global gold demand fell in Q3 to the lowest level in 8 years, continuing the downward trend so far in 2017. Weak jewellery demand and stalling ETF inflows were the main factors behind the decline... 9th November 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Update OPEC unlikely to reach stocks target Even if OPEC extends its output cuts until the end of next year, stocks are still likely to exceed their fiveyear average, which should put some downward pressure on oil prices next year. 9th November 2017 · 1 min read
Commodities Update China’s commodity imports slump China’s commodity import volumes plummeted in October. While a shift in the timing of the MidAutumn Festival explains much of the decline, we think that there are now clear signs that domestic demand... 8th November 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Update Latest jump in oil prices looks unsustainable Oil prices jumped in recent days on the back of rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East but, assuming that a direct conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran is avoided, the fundamentals suggest... 7th November 2017 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Too soon to get excited about nickel The medium-term outlook for nickel demand has improved given that electric vehicles are likely to have a high nickel content. But, for now, the market is more than comfortably supplied. 6th November 2017 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Gold price overvalued according to most indicators Elevated geopolitical risks and dovish market expectations for Fed tightening have supported the price of gold this year. While we have revised up our end-2017 and end-2018 forecasts, we still expect... 3rd November 2017 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Capacity cuts starting to be felt in China’s PMIs China’s official and unofficial manufacturing PMIs diverged again in October but they both paint a subdued picture of China’s activity. Somewhat ironically, lower commodity output is a key factor... 1st November 2017 · 1 min read
