Energy Update Oil spreads to continue narrowing The spread between the price of Brent and the price of the US benchmark oil, WTI, should continue to narrow over the next few years as the glut of crude which has been built up in the US recedes. 10th April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update USDA Weekly Export Sales (2nd Apr.) The latest US weekly data show a net decline in US soybean export sales as new purchases were offset by a large number of cancelled orders. 9th April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Agriculturals continue to lag Although agricultural commodity prices have shown a bit of strength in recent weeks, they remain the poor cousin to other commodity groups. Indeed, while the S&P GSCI agriculture index has risen by 2%... 8th April 2015 · 1 min read
Energy Update Iranian oil likely to come back to the market, just not yet The preliminary deal reached between Iran and the Western powers should, eventually, allow Iranian oil exports to return to their previous levels. However, some of the finer details still have to be... 8th April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Palm oil price to continue falling With ample supply and lower prices of competing vegetable oils, we expect the price of palm oil to fall further this year. 3rd April 2015 · 1 min read
Energy Update No light at the end of the tunnel for coal prices We expect global demand for coal to be subdued and prices to fall further over the next few years as major consumers in China, the US and Europe continue to move away from coal power. 3rd April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Ample US grain and soybean stocks to push prices lower USDA data on grain and soybean stocks continue to indicate a market brimming with supplies. We remain of the view that corn, wheat and soybean prices will fall further this year. 2nd April 2015 · 1 min read
Energy Update European gas prices heading back down We expect European natural gas prices to fall this year as greater supply and the impact of lower oil prices more than offset higher demand. 1st April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Lumber price to rise despite higher interest rates Despite the likelihood of higher US interest rates this year, demand prospects and mortgage affordability should continue to support higher housing starts, lifting the price of lumber. 27th March 2015 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Silver outshining gold Silver has out-performed gold this year during periods when the prices of both have been rising, as usual, but it has also held on to more of its gains when both have struggled. This supports our... 27th March 2015 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Zinc to continue to outperform Even with cautious demand estimates, the deficit in the zinc market will deepen this year. As such, we expect zinc prices to rise and to outperform many of the other metals. 27th March 2015 · 1 min read
Energy Update Fallout from Yemen The recent developments in Yemen have caused oil prices to jump on fears of disruption to supplies. However we think that the impact on production should be minimal and even in the unlikely event of... 26th March 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Tighter market to push coffee prices higher Despite the weak Brazilian real putting downward pressure on the price of arabica coffee, with the market tightening we think that the price will move higher. 26th March 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update What hope for sugar prices? The world price of sugar has fallen to a six-year low. While recent weakness can be attributed to the fall in the value of the Brazilian real and a decision by India to re-introduce export subsidies... 24th March 2015 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Possible flaws in the ‘‘iron ore plan’’ The ongoing surge in iron ore supply had been expected, but perhaps what has taken markets by surprise is the increasing likelihood that demand could falter, even at these low prices. We think prices... 24th March 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update China & Euro-zone Flash PMIs (Mar.) Today’s disappointing PMI readings from China could have a silver lining for commodities: the data are not bad enough to justify market fears of an imminent “hard landing”, but they may prompt... 24th March 2015 · 1 min read
