US Commercial Property Update New lead indicator points to short-lived capital value growth Our new CE Capital Value Lead Indicator suggests that all-property capital growth may finally turn positive on an annual basis in H2 2025. But importantly, it also suggests that any growth this year... 9th October 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Weak recovery despite lower interest rates The extension of the ECB easing cycle into 2026 will support real estate markets. However, a softer economic outlook and the narrow spread of property to government bond yields mean even our upwardly... 29th September 2025 · 26 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Estimates point to steady euro-zone all-property yields further ahead Fair-value calculations which incorporate rental expectations suggest euro-zone all-property yields should hold steady in the medium term. However, the outlook differs by sector, with rises still... 25th September 2025 · 3 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Outlook Buyer-seller mismatch will keep investment slow Asia-Pacific property will endure a slow , uneven recovery. E levated risk-free rates and soft regional growth will restrain capital appreciation, leaving income as the primary engine of returns. We... 18th September 2025 · 19 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Chart Pack APAC Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q3 2025) Asia-Pacific all-property capital values showed signs of stabilisation, with a milder 2.5% y/y decline in Q2. Still, the upturn in both investment activity and capital values will be weaker than in... 2nd September 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Valuation Monitor US Commercial Property Valuation Monitor (Q3 2025) Valuation scores held steady in Q2 and continue to suggest the sector is a little overvalued. This underpins our view that values still need further falls to support a stronger pickup in investment... 19th August 2025 · 0 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Valuation Monitor Europe Commercial Property Valuation Monitor (Q3 2025) Commercial property valuations improved in Q2 this year as alternative asset yields fell even though prime property yields edged slightly lower. Looking ahead, we think government bond yields will... 18th August 2025 · 0 mins read
APAC Commercial Property Valuation Monitor APAC Commercial Property Valuation Monitor (Q3 2025) The decline in Q2 government bond yields boosted APAC valuation scores. But with risk-free rates still high, property yields will not see meaningful falls. 18th August 2025 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Strong rent prospects support UK industrial valuations Decent rental growth expectations and a narrowing risk premium imply that industrial is only marginally overvalued, despite an historically narrow gap between industrial yields and alternative asset... 12th August 2025 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Valuation Monitor UK Commercial Property Valuation Monitor (Q3 25) Property valuations were unchanged in Q2, with both property and alternative asset yields steady over the quarter. 7th August 2025 · 1 min read
US Commercial Property Update NCREIF Q2 2025: Another disappointingly muted release At 1.2% q/q, second quarter returns were roughly in line with expectations. But the data support our view that appraisals don’t fully reflect the drop in values needed for assets to transact. While a... 28th July 2025 · 3 mins read
Global Commercial Property Chart Pack Global Commercial Property Chartpack (Q2 2025) The gradual recovery in property values underway in Europe is unlikely to be pushed off track by tariff developments this year, but we think values still have further to fall in the US and APAC as... 2nd July 2025 · 1 min read
APAC Commercial Property Outlook Values to fall as region’s markets struggle to recover The outlook for the Asia-Pacific markets is relatively poor. We think higher-for-longer bond yields will limit the pace of recovery in this cycle globally, but this will be compounded by a weak... 27th June 2025 · 20 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Europe Commercial Property Outlook: Insulated from tariffs but outlook for property values is weak European commercial property is relatively insulated from the direct impact of US tariffs, but property markets are also not likely to see substantial benefit from more fiscal spending. In all, our... 19th June 2025 · 27 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Corporate bonds offer more proof of stretched US CRE valuations On the back of the MSCI and NCREIF indices reporting rising capital values in Q1 and our significantly below-consensus forecast views for the next two years, we are again re-evaluating our forecasts... 11th June 2025 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Valuation Monitor US Commercial Property Valuation Monitor (Q2 2025) Treasury yields eased slightly in Q1 but have since risen again. With property cap rates broadly flat, our valuation scores continue to point to overvaluation. This reinforces our view that any... 22nd May 2025 · 0 mins read
