Commodities Weekly Wrap All eyes on US data next week It was a fairly quiet week in commodities markets, although oil prices rose on concerns about earthquake-related disruption to exports from the Turkish port of Ceyhan and Russia’s announcement of a 0... 10th February 2023 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly Wrap Russian petroleum product exports to struggle The EU’s ban on imports of Russian petroleum products will come into force on Sunday, which could raise EU fuel prices and weigh on Russia’s product exports. However, we suspect Russia will offer... 3rd February 2023 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly Wrap New year, same trends Most commodity prices declined this week, with energy prices falling especially sharply. Unseasonably mild weather in Europe and the US weighed on heating demand, prompting a plunge in gas prices. The... 6th January 2023 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly Wrap All eyes will remain on China It was a fairly quiet week in commodity markets. The only notable move was a slump in natural gas prices. The EU eventually agreed its long-discussed natural gas price cap early in the week, but it... 23rd December 2022 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly Wrap Huge risks associated with China reopening The raft of inflation data and central bank policy decisions were key drivers of prices this week, but to some extent China stole the show. We now think that a dismantling of the zero-COVID policy is... 16th December 2022 · 6 mins read
Commodities Outlook The global recession isn’t done with commodities yet Tight financial conditions and China’s biggest COVID outbreak yet mean global economic growth will slow further in the first quarter of next year, dragging most commodity prices lower. The slowdown... 16th December 2022 · 2 mins read
Capital Daily We think the rebound in gold will prove short-lived Despite its recent rally, we think that gold will come under renewed pressure before long amid elevated US real yields. 15th November 2022 · 6 mins read
Precious Metals Update Gold and silver prices to rise next year Gold and silver prices fell following Chair Powell’s hawkish comments yesterday. But if we are right in thinking US rates won’t rise by as much as markets expect, gold and silver prices should... 3rd November 2022 · 2 mins read
Asset Allocation Update What to make of gold’s resistance to the surge in TIPS yields We suspect that the reduced liquidity of inflation-protected Treasuries vis-à-vis their conventional counterparts is one reason why the price of gold has not fallen as much as might have been expected... 14th October 2022 · 5 mins read
Commodities Weekly Wrap Energy supply concerns take a back seat… for now Energy markets took centre stage this week as demand concerns outweighed supply concerns, dragging prices down. Even the decision by OPEC+ on Monday to cut oil output quotas for October by 100,000 bpd... 9th September 2022 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly Wrap Supply concerns take a back seat, for now Growing fears about demand hit all commodity groups hard this week as China tightened restrictions in response to renewed virus outbreaks. Energy prices took a big leg down from their highs reached... 2nd September 2022 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly Wrap Natural gas and coal prices to stay higher for longer We’ve raised our near-term natural gas and coal price forecasts across the board this week to account for the recent slump in Russian natural gas exports to Europe, the likelihood that those exports... 26th August 2022 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly Wrap Natural gas price knows no bounds It was another week of soaring natural gas prices as LNG demand from Asia appears to have picked up and the energy crisis in Europe deepens by the day. Ultra-dry and hot weather across Europe is... 19th August 2022 · 6 mins read
