Europe Commercial Property Update Affordability of renting vs buying a tailwind for rental demand The comparative affordability of renting versus owner-occupation is one factor that we expect to support rental demand across most European markets in the coming years, especially in the German... 19th March 2026 · 2 mins read
Commodities Update Strategic reserves are no substitute for an open Strait A record-breaking release of emergency oil reserves could cushion a lack of supply from the Middle East and provide some relief to oil prices. However, this would prove temporary with prices likely to... 11th March 2026 · 4 mins read
Global Economics Update Scenarios for the Iran war & the macro impact This note assesses the macro and commodity‑market implications of three potential scenarios for the Iran war. In the most benign – a severe but short‑lived conflict – the effects on GDP, inflation and... 10th March 2026 · 7 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update EZ property yields unlikely to spike if conflict in Iran is short-lived Providing the conflict in Iran is short-lived, the impact on euro-zone commercial property values is likely to be small. However, a more prolonged conflict would weigh on property demand, especially... 10th March 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update European office vacancy to stabilise this year A softening new supply pipeline and indications that demand is gradually improving suggest office vacancy in Europe should stabilise this year. That said, we expect that any falls will be small... 3rd March 2026 · 3 mins read
Global Economics Update The consequences of the Middle East conflict The global economic impact of conflict in the Middle East will hinge on its effect on energy markets. If oil stays near $70-$80 per barrel, DM inflation will be only about 0.2-0.3 percentage points... 2nd March 2026 · 8 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Foreign capital flows to the US set to stay at low levels The US’ relatively strong economic growth outlook and large data center market are likely to support a pick-up in foreign demand for US assets after the cross-border share of purchases fell to at... 17th February 2026 · 4 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Softer data point to weaker retail revival in the euro-zone The data for euro-zone retail rents have been notably weaker since mid-2025. Given this and the fragile economic backdrop, we think that any retail recovery over the next year or more will now be... 12th February 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Q4 RICS survey highlights weakness in German and French markets The Q4 RICS survey pointed to a largely stable euro-zone commercial property market at the end of last year. However, there were marked differences between prime and secondary assets as well as within... 10th February 2026 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Lending conditions improving, but refinancing challenges to persist Survey data point to an improving commercial real estate lending environment in H1 this year. This will support investment activity, though our updated estimates suggest refinancing challenges will... 4th February 2026 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Why have data center REIT prices and asset values diverged? The divergence between data center REIT performance and data center asset values over the last year appears to reflect the high level of uncertainty in the sector. Questions over power constraints... 22nd January 2026 · 4 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Fundamentals support Dublin industrial revival The fortunes of Dublin’s logistics markets are improving after a post-pandemic hangover. Sentiment is currently strong, while a solid economic outlook and tight supply provide reasons to be optimistic... 21st January 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update High valuations challenge the Paris prime office market A weak overall office market in Paris has pushed investor demand to prime assets, leaving valuations highly stretched. Nevertheless, our relatively positive prime rental forecast means that Paris... 13th January 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Our key calls for 2026 The recovery in European commercial property values is set to slow this year given the soft economic growth backdrop and elevated interest rates. Our forecast for euro-zone all-property total returns... 7th January 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Reviewing our key calls for 2025 The recovery in European property values in 2025 was broadly as we forecasted. However, the drivers differed slightly from our expectations, with a smaller-than-expected fall in prime property yields... 6th January 2026 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Are we too pessimistic about CEE retail rents? So far CEE markets have proved more resilient to the slowdown in European retail rents. While risks still skew to the upside, we expect that CEE retail rent growth rates will slow further, with... 23rd December 2025 · 3 mins read
