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Prices start to fall back (Oct 10)

House prices have started to fall back in response to the plunge in sales seen since the homebuyer tax credit expired in April. Both the Case-Shiller and FHFA indices showed prices fell in July. (See Chart below.) It is mildly encouraging that home sales in August nudged up from their post-tax credit floor. But the recent rise in mortgage applications for home purchase is small given that mortgage rates have dropped to a record low. Finally, the freezing of foreclosure sales by some banks has placed another question mark over the near-term outlook for the housing market.

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