Divergent outlooks for Riksbank & Norges Bank policy

While both the Riksbank and the Norges Bank kept policy unchanged today, the outlooks for monetary policy in the two countries are very different. We think that policy in Sweden will be tightened early next year, sooner than the Riksbank’s guidance implies. In contrast, we think the Norges Bank will keep its policy rate unchanged until 2020, which would be far longer than policymakers currently anticipate.