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Peru: in no rush to follow Brazil’s lead on rates

Peru’s central bank (BCRP) kept its benchmark lending rate at 4.25% last night. While it appears to have dropped its tightening bias, we believe that it is premature to forecast any policy easing over the next few months. As such, we have revised down our year-end interest rate forecast (from 5.0%) and now expect rates to stay on hold at 4.25% into 2012.

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