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Mexico Bi-Weekly Consumer Prices (Aug.)

The further rise in Mexican inflation in the first half of this month, to 2.8% y/y from 2.7% y/y over July as a whole, means that the headline rate is on course to breach the central bank’s 3% target by year-end. Against this backdrop, we remain comfortable with our forecast for one more 50bp interest rate hike this year, probably at December’s meeting.

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